Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Tropical Storm Pilandok, drives cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall across Metro Manila through September 6, limiting both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from PAGASA-aligned models and global ensembles show overnight minimums clustered near 25–26 °C under high humidity (85–95 %) and southwesterly flow, consistent with September climatology for the region. The balanced market-implied probabilities across 21 °C or below, 26 °C, and 31 °C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in exact low-level moisture, rainfall timing, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Manila no dia 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Manila no dia 6 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 69%
31°C ou mais 69%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
21°C ou menos
69%
22°C
42%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
32%
26°C
32%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C ou mais
69%
21°C ou menos 69%
31°C ou mais 69%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
69%
22°C
$0 Vol.
42%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Tropical Storm Pilandok, drives cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall across Metro Manila through September 6, limiting both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from PAGASA-aligned models and global ensembles show overnight minimums clustered near 25–26 °C under high humidity (85–95 %) and southwesterly flow, consistent with September climatology for the region. The balanced market-implied probabilities across 21 °C or below, 26 °C, and 31 °C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in exact low-level moisture, rainfall timing, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Tropical Storm Pilandok, drives cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall across Metro Manila through September 6, limiting both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from PAGASA-aligned models and global ensembles show overnight minimums clustered near 25–26 °C under high humidity (85–95 %) and southwesterly flow, consistent with September climatology for the region. The balanced market-implied probabilities across 21 °C or below, 26 °C, and 31 °C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in exact low-level moisture, rainfall timing, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Tropical Storm Pilandok, drives cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall across Metro Manila through September 6, limiting both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from PAGASA-aligned models and global ensembles show overnight minimums clustered near 25–26 °C under high humidity (85–95 %) and southwesterly flow, consistent with September climatology for the region. The balanced market-implied probabilities across 21 °C or below, 26 °C, and 31 °C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in exact low-level moisture, rainfall timing, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions