**Trader consensus in the Milan lowest-temperature market remains tightly balanced near 16–17°C as the dominant outcomes, reflecting model uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid stable late-September conditions.** Overcast skies and light variable winds have limited radiative cooling, with surface temperatures holding in the 18–20°C range through early morning hours according to official forecasts. High pressure and mild advection from southerly flows are maintaining above-average minima compared to climatological September lows around 16°C. Key differentiating factors include the timing of any partial clearing, which could allow brief dips toward 16–17°C, versus persistent cloud cover that supports a floor closer to 18°C or higher. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Milão a 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Milão a 21 de setembro?
10°C ou menos 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
16°C 50%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
10°C ou menos
100%
11°C
9%
12°C
6%
13°C
16%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou mais
<1%
10°C ou menos 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
16°C 50%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
10°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
100%
11°C
$0 Vol.
9%
12°C
$0 Vol.
6%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
100%
15°C
$0 Vol.
100%
16°C
$0 Vol.
50%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C ou mais
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Milan lowest-temperature market remains tightly balanced near 16–17°C as the dominant outcomes, reflecting model uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid stable late-September conditions.**
Overcast skies and light variable winds have limited radiative cooling, with surface temperatures holding in the 18–20°C range through early morning hours according to official forecasts. High pressure and mild advection from southerly flows are maintaining above-average minima compared to climatological September lows around 16°C. Key differentiating factors include the timing of any partial clearing, which could allow brief dips toward 16–17°C, versus persistent cloud cover that supports a floor closer to 18°C or higher. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$50Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Milan lowest-temperature market remains tightly balanced near 16–17°C as the dominant outcomes, reflecting model uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid stable late-September conditions.**
Overcast skies and light variable winds have limited radiative cooling, with surface temperatures holding in the 18–20°C range through early morning hours according to official forecasts. High pressure and mild advection from southerly flows are maintaining above-average minima compared to climatological September lows around 16°C. Key differentiating factors include the timing of any partial clearing, which could allow brief dips toward 16–17°C, versus persistent cloud cover that supports a floor closer to 18°C or higher. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in the Milan lowest-temperature market remains tightly balanced near 16–17°C as the dominant outcomes, reflecting model uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid stable late-September conditions.** Overcast skies and light variable winds have limited radiative cooling, with surface temperatures holding in the 18–20°C range through early morning hours according to official forecasts. High pressure and mild advection from southerly flows are maintaining above-average minima compared to climatological September lows around 16°C. Key differentiating factors include the timing of any partial clearing, which could allow brief dips toward 16–17°C, versus persistent cloud cover that supports a floor closer to 18°C or higher. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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