**Official National Weather Service measurements from Central Park and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 64–65°F in New York City on September 16, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on that bin.** This outcome reflects mild overnight conditions with southerly flow limiting radiational cooling and keeping the low several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 61.6°F. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative losses occurred to push readings into lower ranges. The strong consensus among traders, backed by real capital on verified data, leaves negligible probability for other outcomes. Final resolution depends on the complete NWS local climatological report, though revisions capable of shifting the result remain highly unlikely given consistent station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 16 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 16 de setembro?
64-65°F 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
55°F ou menos <1%
13-14°C <1%
$7,680 Vol.
$7,680 Vol.
16 set 2026
55°F ou menos
<1%
13-14°C
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
21°C-21,7°C
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F ou mais
<1%
64-65°F 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
55°F ou menos <1%
13-14°C <1%
$7,680 Vol.
$7,680 Vol.
16 set 2026
55°F ou menos
$293 Vol.
<1%
13-14°C
$722 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$987 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,059 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,869 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,620 Vol.
100%
66-67°F
$968 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$33 Vol.
<1%
21°C-21,7°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$49 Vol.
<1%
74°F ou mais
$54 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service measurements from Central Park and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 64–65°F in New York City on September 16, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on that bin.** This outcome reflects mild overnight conditions with southerly flow limiting radiational cooling and keeping the low several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 61.6°F. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative losses occurred to push readings into lower ranges. The strong consensus among traders, backed by real capital on verified data, leaves negligible probability for other outcomes. Final resolution depends on the complete NWS local climatological report, though revisions capable of shifting the result remain highly unlikely given consistent station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,680Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service measurements from Central Park and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 64–65°F in New York City on September 16, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on that bin.** This outcome reflects mild overnight conditions with southerly flow limiting radiational cooling and keeping the low several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 61.6°F. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative losses occurred to push readings into lower ranges. The strong consensus among traders, backed by real capital on verified data, leaves negligible probability for other outcomes. Final resolution depends on the complete NWS local climatological report, though revisions capable of shifting the result remain highly unlikely given consistent station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,680Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service measurements from Central Park and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 64–65°F in New York City on September 16, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on that bin.** This outcome reflects mild overnight conditions with southerly flow limiting radiational cooling and keeping the low several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 61.6°F. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative losses occurred to push readings into lower ranges. The strong consensus among traders, backed by real capital on verified data, leaves negligible probability for other outcomes. Final resolution depends on the complete NWS local climatological report, though revisions capable of shifting the result remain highly unlikely given consistent station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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