Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 11 de setembro?
23°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
11 set 2026
19°C ou menos
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C ou superior
Não
23°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
11 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$535 Vol.
Não
20°C
$1,159 Vol.
Não
21°C
$696 Vol.
Não
22°C
$2,564 Vol.
Não
23°C
$5,871 Vol.
Sim
24°C
$2,360 Vol.
Não
25°C
$880 Vol.
Não
26°C
$141 Vol.
Não
27°C
$191 Vol.
Não
28°C
$201 Vol.
Não
29°C ou superior
$183 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$14,782Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,782Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent forecast data from meteorological models and observational networks have converged on a minimum temperature of 23°C for Shanghai on September 11, 2026, with overnight readings stabilizing near this level under northeast flow and partly cloudy skies. High pressure and limited moisture advection have suppressed further cooling below typical late-summer climatology, aligning with ensemble outputs from agencies tracking regional conditions. This strong consensus underpins the market's overwhelming implied probability for 23°C. A notable shift in steering patterns or revised model runs incorporating new upper-air data could still alter the overnight minimum, particularly if dew points or wind speeds deviate from current guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions