Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services project a daily minimum near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 3 amid persistent monsoon rains and scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the seasonal average low of 24°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 24–25°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and rainfall timing, with any northward advection of slightly cooler air or prolonged clear spells after showers able to push readings lower. Heavier rain episodes typically moderate minima by limiting clear-sky heat loss, while the low probability assigned to 20°C or below reflects the unlikelihood of significant cold-air intrusions this early in the season. Updated high-resolution model guidance over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 3 de setembro?
20°C or below 69%
28°C 46%
30°C or higher 46%
25°C 34%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
20°C or below
69%
21°C
18%
22°C
26%
23°C
24%
24°C
28%
25°C
34%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
46%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
46%
20°C or below 69%
28°C 46%
30°C or higher 46%
25°C 34%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
69%
21°C
$5 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C
$5 Vol.
46%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services project a daily minimum near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 3 amid persistent monsoon rains and scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the seasonal average low of 24°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 24–25°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and rainfall timing, with any northward advection of slightly cooler air or prolonged clear spells after showers able to push readings lower. Heavier rain episodes typically moderate minima by limiting clear-sky heat loss, while the low probability assigned to 20°C or below reflects the unlikelihood of significant cold-air intrusions this early in the season. Updated high-resolution model guidance over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$25Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services project a daily minimum near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 3 amid persistent monsoon rains and scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the seasonal average low of 24°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 24–25°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and rainfall timing, with any northward advection of slightly cooler air or prolonged clear spells after showers able to push readings lower. Heavier rain episodes typically moderate minima by limiting clear-sky heat loss, while the low probability assigned to 20°C or below reflects the unlikelihood of significant cold-air intrusions this early in the season. Updated high-resolution model guidance over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services project a daily minimum near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 3 amid persistent monsoon rains and scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the seasonal average low of 24°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 24–25°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and rainfall timing, with any northward advection of slightly cooler air or prolonged clear spells after showers able to push readings lower. Heavier rain episodes typically moderate minima by limiting clear-sky heat loss, while the low probability assigned to 20°C or below reflects the unlikelihood of significant cold-air intrusions this early in the season. Updated high-resolution model guidance over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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