**Cloud cover, steady rain, and northerly winds are holding Tokyo’s overnight minimum near 21 °C on 29 August 2026.** Multiple forecasts from WeatherBug, WindBorne, and Japanese sources converge on a low of 20–21 °C, with current observations already showing temperatures falling through the low-20s °C under overcast skies and light northwest flow. Persistent moisture and reduced radiational cooling keep the air mass from dropping further, while the same pattern suppressed daytime highs to the mid-20s °C. Recent days had been warmer (lows 23–26 °C), but the arrival of this cooler, rain-cooled airmass shifted the distribution sharply toward 21 °C. Market-implied odds (77 % at 21 °C) therefore reflect strong consensus among numerical models and official guidance that the day’s minimum will settle at or very near that threshold, with only modest probability mass remaining for 20 °C or lower if clearing occurs earlier than expected.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 29 de agosto?
21°C 88%
20°C 16%
19°C or below 3%
22°C <1%
$12,111 Vol.
$12,111 Vol.
29 ago 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
88%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 88%
20°C 16%
19°C or below 3%
22°C <1%
$12,111 Vol.
$12,111 Vol.
29 ago 2026
19°C or below
$634 Vol.
3%
20°C
$399 Vol.
9%
21°C
$588 Vol.
88%
22°C
$1,342 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,527 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,003 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$606 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,612 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,876 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, steady rain, and northerly winds are holding Tokyo’s overnight minimum near 21 °C on 29 August 2026.** Multiple forecasts from WeatherBug, WindBorne, and Japanese sources converge on a low of 20–21 °C, with current observations already showing temperatures falling through the low-20s °C under overcast skies and light northwest flow.
Persistent moisture and reduced radiational cooling keep the air mass from dropping further, while the same pattern suppressed daytime highs to the mid-20s °C. Recent days had been warmer (lows 23–26 °C), but the arrival of this cooler, rain-cooled airmass shifted the distribution sharply toward 21 °C. Market-implied odds (77 % at 21 °C) therefore reflect strong consensus among numerical models and official guidance that the day’s minimum will settle at or very near that threshold, with only modest probability mass remaining for 20 °C or lower if clearing occurs earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,111Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover, steady rain, and northerly winds are holding Tokyo’s overnight minimum near 21 °C on 29 August 2026.** Multiple forecasts from WeatherBug, WindBorne, and Japanese sources converge on a low of 20–21 °C, with current observations already showing temperatures falling through the low-20s °C under overcast skies and light northwest flow.
Persistent moisture and reduced radiational cooling keep the air mass from dropping further, while the same pattern suppressed daytime highs to the mid-20s °C. Recent days had been warmer (lows 23–26 °C), but the arrival of this cooler, rain-cooled airmass shifted the distribution sharply toward 21 °C. Market-implied odds (77 % at 21 °C) therefore reflect strong consensus among numerical models and official guidance that the day’s minimum will settle at or very near that threshold, with only modest probability mass remaining for 20 °C or lower if clearing occurs earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,111Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover, steady rain, and northerly winds are holding Tokyo’s overnight minimum near 21 °C on 29 August 2026.** Multiple forecasts from WeatherBug, WindBorne, and Japanese sources converge on a low of 20–21 °C, with current observations already showing temperatures falling through the low-20s °C under overcast skies and light northwest flow. Persistent moisture and reduced radiational cooling keep the air mass from dropping further, while the same pattern suppressed daytime highs to the mid-20s °C. Recent days had been warmer (lows 23–26 °C), but the arrival of this cooler, rain-cooled airmass shifted the distribution sharply toward 21 °C. Market-implied odds (77 % at 21 °C) therefore reflect strong consensus among numerical models and official guidance that the day’s minimum will settle at or very near that threshold, with only modest probability mass remaining for 20 °C or lower if clearing occurs earlier than expected.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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