Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and local Polish sources, indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C overnight into September 16 in Warsaw under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high humidity favoring radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and recent stable high-pressure conditions limiting advection of warmer air. Model consensus shows limited overnight drop potential below 11–12°C, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning remains closely split near the 10–11°C thresholds, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing of the daily minimum and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs and morning observations will clarify any last adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 16 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 16 de setembro?
6°C ou menos 98%
10°C 50%
11°C 50%
8°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
6°C ou menos
98%
7°C
10%
8°C
16%
9°C
6%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C ou mais
<1%
6°C ou menos 98%
10°C 50%
11°C 50%
8°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
16 set 2026
6°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
98%
7°C
$87 Vol.
10%
8°C
$213 Vol.
16%
9°C
$5 Vol.
6%
10°C
$10 Vol.
50%
11°C
$0 Vol.
50%
12°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
16°C ou mais
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and local Polish sources, indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C overnight into September 16 in Warsaw under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high humidity favoring radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and recent stable high-pressure conditions limiting advection of warmer air. Model consensus shows limited overnight drop potential below 11–12°C, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning remains closely split near the 10–11°C thresholds, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing of the daily minimum and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs and morning observations will clarify any last adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$697Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and local Polish sources, indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C overnight into September 16 in Warsaw under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high humidity favoring radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and recent stable high-pressure conditions limiting advection of warmer air. Model consensus shows limited overnight drop potential below 11–12°C, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning remains closely split near the 10–11°C thresholds, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing of the daily minimum and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs and morning observations will clarify any last adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$697Data de Término
16 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and local Polish sources, indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C overnight into September 16 in Warsaw under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high humidity favoring radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and recent stable high-pressure conditions limiting advection of warmer air. Model consensus shows limited overnight drop potential below 11–12°C, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning remains closely split near the 10–11°C thresholds, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing of the daily minimum and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs and morning observations will clarify any last adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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