Current forecasts from multiple models place Warsaw's overnight low on September 6 near 11–13 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with early-September climatology. The market's 50 % split between 8 °C or below and 18 °C or higher reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible timing of any weak frontal passage, rather than a clear warm or cold anomaly. Mid-range outcomes (11–14 °C) capture the consensus trajectory, while the low-probability tails price tail-risk shifts from faster advection of cooler maritime air or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia a 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia a 6 de setembro?
8°C ou menos 100%
18°C ou mais 100%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
8°C ou menos
100%
9°C
43%
10°C
23%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
43%
16°C
2%
17°C
43%
18°C ou mais
100%
8°C ou menos 100%
18°C ou mais 100%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
8°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
100%
9°C
$0 Vol.
43%
10°C
$0 Vol.
23%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
43%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
43%
18°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Warsaw's overnight low on September 6 near 11–13 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with early-September climatology. The market's 50 % split between 8 °C or below and 18 °C or higher reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible timing of any weak frontal passage, rather than a clear warm or cold anomaly. Mid-range outcomes (11–14 °C) capture the consensus trajectory, while the low-probability tails price tail-risk shifts from faster advection of cooler maritime air or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Warsaw's overnight low on September 6 near 11–13 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with early-September climatology. The market's 50 % split between 8 °C or below and 18 °C or higher reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible timing of any weak frontal passage, rather than a clear warm or cold anomaly. Mid-range outcomes (11–14 °C) capture the consensus trajectory, while the low-probability tails price tail-risk shifts from faster advection of cooler maritime air or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models place Warsaw's overnight low on September 6 near 11–13 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with early-September climatology. The market's 50 % split between 8 °C or below and 18 °C or higher reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible timing of any weak frontal passage, rather than a clear warm or cold anomaly. Mid-range outcomes (11–14 °C) capture the consensus trajectory, while the low-probability tails price tail-risk shifts from faster advection of cooler maritime air or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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