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Eleições·Agitação Em Minnesota

MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Eleições·Agitação Em Minnesota

MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

$22,108 Vol.

Polymarket

$22,108 Vol.

Ilhan Omar

$18,504 Vol.

81%

Latonya Reeves

$3,604 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's dominant fundraising position—over $5 million raised and $3.8 million cash on hand versus Latonya Reeves' $31,000—combined with her track record of expanding primary margins after a close 2022 race against Don Samuels (winning 56%-43% in 2024), anchors trader consensus at 80.5% for her victory in the August 11 MN-05 Democratic primary.** Reeves, a Hennepin County probation officer, union leader, and DNC member emphasizing local-focused centrism, commands 20% on visibility as a pragmatic alternative in this deep-blue district where moderates have previously pressured Omar. No polls or major catalysts have surfaced in the past 30 days, with candidate filing looming June 2 and DFL conventions ahead potentially influencing momentum.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,108
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's dominant fundraising position—over $5 million raised and $3.8 million cash on hand versus Latonya Reeves' $31,000—combined with her track record of expanding primary margins after a close 2022 race against Don Samuels (winning 56%-43% in 2024), anchors trader consensus at 80.5% for her victory in the August 11 MN-05 Democratic primary.** Reeves, a Hennepin County probation officer, union leader, and DNC member emphasizing local-focused centrism, commands 20% on visibility as a pragmatic alternative in this deep-blue district where moderates have previously pressured Omar. No polls or major catalysts have surfaced in the past 30 days, with candidate filing looming June 2 and DFL conventions ahead potentially influencing momentum.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,108
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ilhan Omar" at 81%, followed by "Latonya Reeves" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $22.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Ilhan Omar" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Latonya Reeves" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MN-05 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.