Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured his party's nomination with 86% of the vote in the August 11 primary and faces Democrat Trina Swanson in the November general election for Minnesota's 8th congressional district. The seat carries an R+7 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Republican victories in recent cycles, including Stauber's 2024 win. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's northern Minnesota base, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major polling shifts or campaign developments that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, treating an upset as low probability absent late-breaking events.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMN-08 House Election Winner
MN-08 House Election Winner
$21,078 Vol.
$21,078 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Democrata
14%
$21,078 Vol.
$21,078 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,205 Vol.
86%
Partido Democrata
$9,873 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured his party's nomination with 86% of the vote in the August 11 primary and faces Democrat Trina Swanson in the November general election for Minnesota's 8th congressional district. The seat carries an R+7 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Republican victories in recent cycles, including Stauber's 2024 win. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's northern Minnesota base, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major polling shifts or campaign developments that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, treating an upset as low probability absent late-breaking events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$21,078Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured his party's nomination with 86% of the vote in the August 11 primary and faces Democrat Trina Swanson in the November general election for Minnesota's 8th congressional district. The seat carries an R+7 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Republican victories in recent cycles, including Stauber's 2024 win. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's northern Minnesota base, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major polling shifts or campaign developments that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, treating an upset as low probability absent late-breaking events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,078Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber secured his party's nomination with 86% of the vote in the August 11 primary and faces Democrat Trina Swanson in the November general election for Minnesota's 8th congressional district. The seat carries an R+7 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Republican victories in recent cycles, including Stauber's 2024 win. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's northern Minnesota base, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major polling shifts or campaign developments that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, treating an upset as low probability absent late-breaking events.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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