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Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Alani Bankhead 100.0%

Michael Hummert <1%

Kathleen McLaughlin <1%

Reilly Neill <1%

Polymarket

$48,601 Vol.

Alani Bankhead 100.0%

Michael Hummert <1%

Kathleen McLaughlin <1%

Reilly Neill <1%

Polymarket

$48,601 Vol.

Michael Hummert

$2,615 Vol.

No

Alani Bankhead

$32,299 Vol.

Yes

Kathleen McLaughlin

$481 Vol.

No

Reilly Neill

$11,676 Vol.

No

Michael BlackWolf

$1,530 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Alani Bankhead secured the Democratic nomination for Montana's open U.S. Senate seat in the June 2 primary, driving trader consensus to 100% on her as the winner. Partial results showed her with approximately 44% of the vote, ahead of Reilly Neill at 33% and Michael Black Wolf at 13%, with the remaining candidates trailing further. The open-seat contest followed Republican Sen. Steve Daines' retirement earlier in the cycle. Official certification and any potential recounts represent the main remaining steps that could alter the outcome, though the current margin makes shifts unlikely before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$48,601
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Alani Bankhead secured the Democratic nomination for Montana's open U.S. Senate seat in the June 2 primary, driving trader consensus to 100% on her as the winner. Partial results showed her with approximately 44% of the vote, ahead of Reilly Neill at 33% and Michael Black Wolf at 13%, with the remaining candidates trailing further. The open-seat contest followed Republican Sen. Steve Daines' retirement earlier in the cycle. Official certification and any potential recounts represent the main remaining steps that could alter the outcome, though the current margin makes shifts unlikely before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$48,601
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alani Bankhead" at 100%, followed by "Michael Hummert" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $48.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Alani Bankhead" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael Hummert" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.