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Eleições·Bulgária

# de lugares conquistados pela GERB-SDS nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras?

Market icon
Eleições·Bulgária

# de lugares conquistados pela GERB-SDS nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras?

55-59 41%

50-54 26%

60-64 16.8%

<50 11.0%

Polymarket

$34,274 Vol.

55-59 41%

50-54 26%

60-64 16.8%

<50 11.0%

Polymarket

$34,274 Vol.

<50

$1,965 Vol.

11%

50-54

$365 Vol.

26%

55-59

$7,686 Vol.

41%

60-64

$20,230 Vol.

17%

65-69

$2,838 Vol.

11%

70+

$1,190 Vol.

6%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GERB-SDS securing 55-59 seats (37%) or 50-54 (24%) in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing the center-right coalition's vote share dipping to 19-21.5% amid Progressive Bulgaria's lead at 30-34%. Latest surveys from CAM (April 3-14: 19.4%, 54 seats) and Sova Harris (April 2-6: 19%, 53 seats) anchor these brackets, a slide from March highs of 23.4% projecting 64-70 seats. Fragmentation risks persist with multiple parties near the 4% threshold, where failures could redistribute seats upward to qualifiers like GERB-SDS, while voter fatigue from the eighth election since 2021 tempers upside in this proportional representation system requiring 121 for majority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$34,274
Data de Término
19 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices GERB-SDS securing 55-59 seats (37%) or 50-54 (24%) in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing the center-right coalition's vote share dipping to 19-21.5% amid Progressive Bulgaria's lead at 30-34%. Latest surveys from CAM (April 3-14: 19.4%, 54 seats) and Sova Harris (April 2-6: 19%, 53 seats) anchor these brackets, a slide from March highs of 23.4% projecting 64-70 seats. Fragmentation risks persist with multiple parties near the 4% threshold, where failures could redistribute seats upward to qualifiers like GERB-SDS, while voter fatigue from the eighth election since 2021 tempers upside in this proportional representation system requiring 121 for majority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$34,274
Data de Término
19 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by GERB-SDS in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"# de lugares conquistados pela GERB-SDS nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "55-59" at 41%, followed by "50-54" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# de lugares conquistados pela GERB-SDS nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras?" has generated $34.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# de lugares conquistados pela GERB-SDS nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# de lugares conquistados pela GERB-SDS nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras?" is "55-59" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50-54" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# de lugares conquistados pela GERB-SDS nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.