In the Santa Catarina Senate race for the second seat, traders see a fragmented field with high uncertainty after candidate registrations closed in early August 2026. Recent polls show Carlos Bolsonaro and Caroline de Toni leading overall vote intentions, yet large numbers of undecided voters and the mechanics of selecting two senators keep second-place positioning fluid among a wide group of contenders including Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, and others. Primary factors include party coalitions, regional voter priorities in the South, and limited name recognition for many candidates this far from the October election. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could shift implied probabilities by clarifying frontrunners for the paired seats.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado Catarinense: 2º Lugar
Eleição para o Senado Catarinense: 2º Lugar
Esperidião Amin 23%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado 22%
Jeferson da Rocha 22%
Marlene Soccas 22%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Esperidião Amin
23%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
22%
Jeferson da Rocha
22%
Marlene Soccas
22%
Carol de Toni
21%
Marcos Dorval
21%
Afrânio Boppré
19%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
19%
Décio Lima
14%
Carlos Bolsonaro
14%
Lunelli
14%
Joaninha de Oliveira
11%
Carol
9%
Esperidião Amin 23%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado 22%
Jeferson da Rocha 22%
Marlene Soccas 22%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Esperidião Amin
$21 Vol.
23%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$21 Vol.
22%
Jeferson da Rocha
$21 Vol.
22%
Marlene Soccas
$21 Vol.
22%
Carol de Toni
$21 Vol.
21%
Marcos Dorval
$21 Vol.
21%
Afrânio Boppré
$21 Vol.
19%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$21 Vol.
19%
Décio Lima
$42 Vol.
14%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$42 Vol.
14%
Lunelli
$42 Vol.
14%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$41 Vol.
11%
Carol
$62 Vol.
9%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Santa Catarina Senate race for the second seat, traders see a fragmented field with high uncertainty after candidate registrations closed in early August 2026. Recent polls show Carlos Bolsonaro and Caroline de Toni leading overall vote intentions, yet large numbers of undecided voters and the mechanics of selecting two senators keep second-place positioning fluid among a wide group of contenders including Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, and others. Primary factors include party coalitions, regional voter priorities in the South, and limited name recognition for many candidates this far from the October election. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could shift implied probabilities by clarifying frontrunners for the paired seats.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$397Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Santa Catarina Senate race for the second seat, traders see a fragmented field with high uncertainty after candidate registrations closed in early August 2026. Recent polls show Carlos Bolsonaro and Caroline de Toni leading overall vote intentions, yet large numbers of undecided voters and the mechanics of selecting two senators keep second-place positioning fluid among a wide group of contenders including Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, and others. Primary factors include party coalitions, regional voter priorities in the South, and limited name recognition for many candidates this far from the October election. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could shift implied probabilities by clarifying frontrunners for the paired seats.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$397Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Santa Catarina Senate race for the second seat, traders see a fragmented field with high uncertainty after candidate registrations closed in early August 2026. Recent polls show Carlos Bolsonaro and Caroline de Toni leading overall vote intentions, yet large numbers of undecided voters and the mechanics of selecting two senators keep second-place positioning fluid among a wide group of contenders including Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima, and others. Primary factors include party coalitions, regional voter priorities in the South, and limited name recognition for many candidates this far from the October election. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could shift implied probabilities by clarifying frontrunners for the paired seats.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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