Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in the SC-04 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 16.5-point margin there in 2024. Timmons secured renomination in the June 9, 2026, Republican primary with 65.8% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, and Timmons maintains a substantial fundraising advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. A scheduled October 8 debate offers the main remaining platform for McClain to build visibility. Unlikely shifts in trader consensus would require a major scandal, health event, or national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSC-04 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
SC-04 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$43,734 Vol.
$43,734 Vol.
2 nov 2026
William Timmons (R)
93%
Courtney McClain (D)
7%
$43,734 Vol.
$43,734 Vol.
2 nov 2026
William Timmons (R)
$20,131 Vol.
93%
Courtney McClain (D)
$23,603 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in the SC-04 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 16.5-point margin there in 2024. Timmons secured renomination in the June 9, 2026, Republican primary with 65.8% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, and Timmons maintains a substantial fundraising advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. A scheduled October 8 debate offers the main remaining platform for McClain to build visibility. Unlikely shifts in trader consensus would require a major scandal, health event, or national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$43,734Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in the SC-04 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 16.5-point margin there in 2024. Timmons secured renomination in the June 9, 2026, Republican primary with 65.8% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, and Timmons maintains a substantial fundraising advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. A scheduled October 8 debate offers the main remaining platform for McClain to build visibility. Unlikely shifts in trader consensus would require a major scandal, health event, or national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,734Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican William Timmons holds a commanding lead in the SC-04 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 16.5-point margin there in 2024. Timmons secured renomination in the June 9, 2026, Republican primary with 65.8% of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, and Timmons maintains a substantial fundraising advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. A scheduled October 8 debate offers the main remaining platform for McClain to build visibility. Unlikely shifts in trader consensus would require a major scandal, health event, or national political wave capable of overcoming the district’s structural Republican advantage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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