Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly signaled his commitment to completing the legislative term, with the next general election scheduled no later than August 2027. Recent regional contests, including the May 2026 vote in Andalusia, showed gains for the opposition Popular Party and Vox but produced no parliamentary crisis or successful no-confidence motion that would force early dissolution. The minority coalition continues to navigate budget negotiations and regional party support without triggering the constitutional conditions for a snap vote this year. Traders assign the leading “No” outcome a 59.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of immediate procedural or political catalysts that would alter the established timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$26,639 Vol.
$26,639 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$26,639 Vol.
$26,639 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly signaled his commitment to completing the legislative term, with the next general election scheduled no later than August 2027. Recent regional contests, including the May 2026 vote in Andalusia, showed gains for the opposition Popular Party and Vox but produced no parliamentary crisis or successful no-confidence motion that would force early dissolution. The minority coalition continues to navigate budget negotiations and regional party support without triggering the constitutional conditions for a snap vote this year. Traders assign the leading “No” outcome a 59.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of immediate procedural or political catalysts that would alter the established timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volume
$26,639Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly signaled his commitment to completing the legislative term, with the next general election scheduled no later than August 2027. Recent regional contests, including the May 2026 vote in Andalusia, showed gains for the opposition Popular Party and Vox but produced no parliamentary crisis or successful no-confidence motion that would force early dissolution. The minority coalition continues to navigate budget negotiations and regional party support without triggering the constitutional conditions for a snap vote this year. Traders assign the leading “No” outcome a 59.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of immediate procedural or political catalysts that would alter the established timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,639Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly signaled his commitment to completing the legislative term, with the next general election scheduled no later than August 2027. Recent regional contests, including the May 2026 vote in Andalusia, showed gains for the opposition Popular Party and Vox but produced no parliamentary crisis or successful no-confidence motion that would force early dissolution. The minority coalition continues to navigate budget negotiations and regional party support without triggering the constitutional conditions for a snap vote this year. Traders assign the leading “No” outcome a 59.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of immediate procedural or political catalysts that would alter the established timeline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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