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Política·Swalwell

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez e Cherfilus-McCormick todos até 31 de maio?

Market icon
Política·Swalwell

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez e Cherfilus-McCormick todos até 31 de maio?

Sim

47% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

$16,111 Vol.

Sim

47% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

$16,111 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales resigned this week amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations, fulfilling half of the market's condition and intensifying bipartisan calls for Reps. Cory Mills and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick to exit over similar ethics investigations involving misconduct claims and alleged COVID fund misuse. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 54.5% due to expulsion's high bar—a two-thirds House floor vote amid the GOP's slim majority—coupled with both incumbents resisting resignation and no scheduled Ethics reports before May 31. Momentum from recent exits could tip toward "Yes" via accelerated probes or votes, while procedural delays or party protections might preserve at least one seat past the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,111
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Reps. Eric Swalwell and Tony Gonzales resigned this week amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct allegations, fulfilling half of the market's condition and intensifying bipartisan calls for Reps. Cory Mills and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick to exit over similar ethics investigations involving misconduct claims and alleged COVID fund misuse. Trader consensus tilts slightly to "No" at 54.5% due to expulsion's high bar—a two-thirds House floor vote amid the GOP's slim majority—coupled with both incumbents resisting resignation and no scheduled Ethics reports before May 31. Momentum from recent exits could tip toward "Yes" via accelerated probes or votes, while procedural delays or party protections might preserve at least one seat past the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,390
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez e Cherfilus-McCormick todos até 31 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez e Cherfilus-McCormick todos fora até 31 de maio?" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez e Cherfilus-McCormick todos até 31 de maio?" has generated $16.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez e Cherfilus-McCormick todos até 31 de maio?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez e Cherfilus-McCormick todos até 31 de maio?" is "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez e Cherfilus-McCormick todos fora até 31 de maio?" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez e Cherfilus-McCormick todos até 31 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.