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Política·Orban

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Market icon
Política·Orban

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

67% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
67% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peter Magyar's Tisza Party secured a supermajority in Hungary's recent parliamentary elections, ending Viktor Orbán's long rule and positioning Magyar to form the next government by early May. On April 15, President Tamás Sulyok tasked Magyar with this mandate during a meeting at Sándor Palace, but Magyar immediately demanded Sulyok's resignation, deeming him an unworthy Orban-era appointee unfit to represent national unity. Magyar warned that, absent voluntary departure post-government formation, the new majority would enact legislation to remove him—enabled by their two-thirds parliamentary control. This direct pressure and procedural timeline explain trader consensus implying 68.5% odds of Sulyok exiting office by June 30, amid rapid post-election reforms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$309
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peter Magyar's Tisza Party secured a supermajority in Hungary's recent parliamentary elections, ending Viktor Orbán's long rule and positioning Magyar to form the next government by early May. On April 15, President Tamás Sulyok tasked Magyar with this mandate during a meeting at Sándor Palace, but Magyar immediately demanded Sulyok's resignation, deeming him an unworthy Orban-era appointee unfit to represent national unity. Magyar warned that, absent voluntary departure post-government formation, the new majority would enact legislation to remove him—enabled by their two-thirds parliamentary control. This direct pressure and procedural timeline explain trader consensus implying 68.5% odds of Sulyok exiting office by June 30, amid rapid post-election reforms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$309
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 67% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 67¢, the market collectively assigns a 67% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?" is 67% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 67% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.