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Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria

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Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria

77–80% 95.0%

Acima de 80% 3.0%

74–77% <1%

<65% <1%

Polymarket

$1,335,112 Vol.

77–80% 95.0%

Acima de 80% 3.0%

74–77% <1%

<65% <1%

Polymarket

$1,335,112 Vol.

A participação dos eleitores será inferior a 65% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

<65%

$94,991 Vol.

<1%

A participação dos eleitores será de 65–68% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

65–68%

$55,445 Vol.

<1%

A participação dos eleitores será de 68–71% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

68–71%

$136,655 Vol.

<1%

A participação dos eleitores será de 71–74% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

71–74%

$131,921 Vol.

<1%

A participação dos eleitores será de 74–77% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

74–77%

$277,154 Vol.

<1%

A participação dos eleitores será de 77–80% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

77–80%

$251,824 Vol.

95%

A participação dos eleitores será superior a 80% nas eleições parlamentares húngaras de 2026? icon

Acima de 80%

$387,122 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Preliminary data from Hungary's National Election Commission shows voter turnout reached a record 77.8% as polls closed on April 12 in the parliamentary election for the National Assembly, surpassing the prior high of about 73% in 2022 and driving trader consensus to price the 77–80% outcome at 95%. Intense mobilization amid a closely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party—polls had projected Tisza leads up to 56%—spurred historic participation across urban and rural areas, with early voting exceeding past benchmarks by midday. Final certification awaits overseas and provisional ballots, but significant downward shifts appear unlikely barring counting discrepancies; upward movement to 80%+ could stem from late tallies.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,335,112
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Preliminary data from Hungary's National Election Commission shows voter turnout reached a record 77.8% as polls closed on April 12 in the parliamentary election for the National Assembly, surpassing the prior high of about 73% in 2022 and driving trader consensus to price the 77–80% outcome at 95%. Intense mobilization amid a closely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party—polls had projected Tisza leads up to 56%—spurred historic participation across urban and rural areas, with early voting exceeding past benchmarks by midday. Final certification awaits overseas and provisional ballots, but significant downward shifts appear unlikely barring counting discrepancies; upward movement to 80%+ could stem from late tallies.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,335,112
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "77–80%" at 95%, followed by "Acima de 80%" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria" is "77–80%" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Acima de 80%" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Participação nas eleições parlamentares de 2026 na Hungria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.