Preliminary data from Hungary's National Election Commission shows voter turnout reached a record 77.8% as polls closed on April 12 in the parliamentary election for the National Assembly, surpassing the prior high of about 73% in 2022 and driving trader consensus to price the 77–80% outcome at 95%. Intense mobilization amid a closely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party—polls had projected Tisza leads up to 56%—spurred historic participation across urban and rural areas, with early voting exceeding past benchmarks by midday. Final certification awaits overseas and provisional ballots, but significant downward shifts appear unlikely barring counting discrepancies; upward movement to 80%+ could stem from late tallies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado77–80% 95.0%
Acima de 80% 3.0%
74–77% <1%
<65% <1%
$1,335,112 Vol.
$1,335,112 Vol.

<65%
<1%

65–68%
<1%

68–71%
<1%

71–74%
<1%

74–77%
<1%

77–80%
95%

Acima de 80%
3%
77–80% 95.0%
Acima de 80% 3.0%
74–77% <1%
<65% <1%
$1,335,112 Vol.
$1,335,112 Vol.

<65%
<1%

65–68%
<1%

68–71%
<1%

71–74%
<1%

74–77%
<1%

77–80%
95%

Acima de 80%
3%
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Mercado Aberto: Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary data from Hungary's National Election Commission shows voter turnout reached a record 77.8% as polls closed on April 12 in the parliamentary election for the National Assembly, surpassing the prior high of about 73% in 2022 and driving trader consensus to price the 77–80% outcome at 95%. Intense mobilization amid a closely contested race between Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party—polls had projected Tisza leads up to 56%—spurred historic participation across urban and rural areas, with early voting exceeding past benchmarks by midday. Final certification awaits overseas and provisional ballots, but significant downward shifts appear unlikely barring counting discrepancies; upward movement to 80%+ could stem from late tallies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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