Virginia's 1st congressional district remains a closely contested 2026 House race, with its R+3 partisan voting index and incumbent Republican Rob Wittman facing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4 primaries. Recent polling shows narrow margins between Wittman and leading Democratic contenders such as Henrico Commonwealth's Attorney Shannon Taylor, reflecting the district's suburban Richmond and Northern Neck geography where turnout and swing voters often decide outcomes. Expert ratings classify the seat as Lean Republican, yet trader consensus on prediction markets indicates a slight Democratic edge driven by primary dynamics and national midterm environment. No major developments have shifted positioning in the past 30 days, leaving the race sensitive to candidate selection, fundraising, and early voting trends before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVA-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
VA-01 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$18,384 Vol.
$18,384 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
55%
Partido Republicano
47%
$18,384 Vol.
$18,384 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$16,529 Vol.
55%
Partido Republicano
$1,855 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 1st congressional district remains a closely contested 2026 House race, with its R+3 partisan voting index and incumbent Republican Rob Wittman facing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4 primaries. Recent polling shows narrow margins between Wittman and leading Democratic contenders such as Henrico Commonwealth's Attorney Shannon Taylor, reflecting the district's suburban Richmond and Northern Neck geography where turnout and swing voters often decide outcomes. Expert ratings classify the seat as Lean Republican, yet trader consensus on prediction markets indicates a slight Democratic edge driven by primary dynamics and national midterm environment. No major developments have shifted positioning in the past 30 days, leaving the race sensitive to candidate selection, fundraising, and early voting trends before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$18,384Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 1st congressional district remains a closely contested 2026 House race, with its R+3 partisan voting index and incumbent Republican Rob Wittman facing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4 primaries. Recent polling shows narrow margins between Wittman and leading Democratic contenders such as Henrico Commonwealth's Attorney Shannon Taylor, reflecting the district's suburban Richmond and Northern Neck geography where turnout and swing voters often decide outcomes. Expert ratings classify the seat as Lean Republican, yet trader consensus on prediction markets indicates a slight Democratic edge driven by primary dynamics and national midterm environment. No major developments have shifted positioning in the past 30 days, leaving the race sensitive to candidate selection, fundraising, and early voting trends before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,384Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 1st congressional district remains a closely contested 2026 House race, with its R+3 partisan voting index and incumbent Republican Rob Wittman facing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4 primaries. Recent polling shows narrow margins between Wittman and leading Democratic contenders such as Henrico Commonwealth's Attorney Shannon Taylor, reflecting the district's suburban Richmond and Northern Neck geography where turnout and swing voters often decide outcomes. Expert ratings classify the seat as Lean Republican, yet trader consensus on prediction markets indicates a slight Democratic edge driven by primary dynamics and national midterm environment. No major developments have shifted positioning in the past 30 days, leaving the race sensitive to candidate selection, fundraising, and early voting trends before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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