President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV, triggered by the pontiff's criticism of U.S. and Israeli actions in the ongoing Iran war, represent the freshest catalyst shaping trader expectations for his next public insult by April 30. Over the past week, Trump labeled the Chicago-born pope "terrible on foreign policy" and "weak," refusing to apologize amid backlash from Catholic voters and conservatives. This fits his pattern of targeting critics via social media, including prior jabs at French President Macron, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and Fox News hosts. With no major rallies scheduled but potential appearances at events like the NRA Annual Meeting in Houston through April 19, traders watch for escalations tied to Iran diplomacy or domestic pushback.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$73,487 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Barack Obama
67%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
50%
Keir Starmer
42%
Papa Leão XIV
29%
Tucker Carlson
31%
Megyn Kelly
29%
Alex Jones
14%
Pam Bondi
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
Elon Musk
4%
Viktor Orbán
4%
Vladimir Putin
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Xi Jinping
2%
Melania Trump
1%
Candace Owens
43%
$73,487 Vol.
Barack Obama
$1,697 Vol.
67%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$197 Vol.
50%
Keir Starmer
$306 Vol.
42%
Papa Leão XIV
$2,320 Vol.
29%
Tucker Carlson
$766 Vol.
31%
Megyn Kelly
$0 Vol.
29%
Alex Jones
$1,364 Vol.
14%
Pam Bondi
$451 Vol.
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$6,047 Vol.
5%
Elon Musk
$955 Vol.
4%
Viktor Orbán
$3,355 Vol.
4%
Vladimir Putin
$3,056 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$6,308 Vol.
3%
Xi Jinping
$11,056 Vol.
2%
Melania Trump
$8,151 Vol.
1%
Candace Owens
$49 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV, triggered by the pontiff's criticism of U.S. and Israeli actions in the ongoing Iran war, represent the freshest catalyst shaping trader expectations for his next public insult by April 30. Over the past week, Trump labeled the Chicago-born pope "terrible on foreign policy" and "weak," refusing to apologize amid backlash from Catholic voters and conservatives. This fits his pattern of targeting critics via social media, including prior jabs at French President Macron, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and Fox News hosts. With no major rallies scheduled but potential appearances at events like the NRA Annual Meeting in Houston through April 19, traders watch for escalations tied to Iran diplomacy or domestic pushback.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$73,487Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV, triggered by the pontiff's criticism of U.S. and Israeli actions in the ongoing Iran war, represent the freshest catalyst shaping trader expectations for his next public insult by April 30. Over the past week, Trump labeled the Chicago-born pope "terrible on foreign policy" and "weak," refusing to apologize amid backlash from Catholic voters and conservatives. This fits his pattern of targeting critics via social media, including prior jabs at French President Macron, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and Fox News hosts. With no major rallies scheduled but potential appearances at events like the NRA Annual Meeting in Houston through April 19, traders watch for escalations tied to Iran diplomacy or domestic pushback.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$73,487Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social attacks on Pope Leo XIV, triggered by the pontiff's criticism of U.S. and Israeli actions in the ongoing Iran war, represent the freshest catalyst shaping trader expectations for his next public insult by April 30. Over the past week, Trump labeled the Chicago-born pope "terrible on foreign policy" and "weak," refusing to apologize amid backlash from Catholic voters and conservatives. This fits his pattern of targeting critics via social media, including prior jabs at French President Macron, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and Fox News hosts. With no major rallies scheduled but potential appearances at events like the NRA Annual Meeting in Houston through April 19, traders watch for escalations tied to Iran diplomacy or domestic pushback.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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