US strategic interests in Greenland center on Arctic security, resource access, and countering rival influence through established diplomatic and alliance channels rather than military action. No official statements, troop movements, or legislative signals indicate invasion planning as of September 2026, and Denmark remains a NATO partner with close bilateral ties. Trader consensus at 97% reflects these structural barriers, including alliance commitments, international law, and domestic oversight that historically constrain unilateral force against allies. Late developments such as an acute Arctic crisis involving external powers or a fundamental policy reversal could theoretically alter probabilities, though none appear imminent.