Skip to main content
Market icon
Política·Cultura

Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?

Market icon
Política·Cultura

Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?

$134,806 Vol.

15 abr 2026
Polymarket

$134,806 Vol.

Polymarket

16 de abril

$3,271 Vol.

92%

17 de abril

$7,761 Vol.

92%

18 de abril

$4,625 Vol.

82%

19 de abril

$238 Vol.

70%

20 de abril

$912 Vol.

74%

21 de abril

$6,065 Vol.

77%

22 de abril

$3,113 Vol.

81%

23 de abril

$7,676 Vol.

85%

24 de abril

$5,872 Vol.

81%

25 de abril

$4,898 Vol.

83%

26 de abril

$2,220 Vol.

70%

27 de abril

$5,884 Vol.

80%

28 de abril

$394 Vol.

71%

29 de abril

$3,608 Vol.

80%

30 de abril

$441 Vol.

82%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a strong Yes across dates through April 30, with probabilities from 73% to 88%, reflecting Donald Trump's frequent Truth Social posts featuring personal attacks on political figures, as seen in his recent multi-day feud with Pope Leo XIV. Over the past week, Trump labeled the pontiff "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" amid disagreements over Iran policy and nuclear issues, posting an AI-generated mocking image and continuing verbal sparring despite backlash from Catholic leaders and bipartisan criticism. This pattern, including a profanity-laced post last week, underscores the low barriers to such statements, though markets note resolution hinges on clear personal derogation by Eastern Time each day; upcoming press events or rallies could trigger further activity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$134,806
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a strong Yes across dates through April 30, with probabilities from 73% to 88%, reflecting Donald Trump's frequent Truth Social posts featuring personal attacks on political figures, as seen in his recent multi-day feud with Pope Leo XIV. Over the past week, Trump labeled the pontiff "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" amid disagreements over Iran policy and nuclear issues, posting an AI-generated mocking image and continuing verbal sparring despite backlash from Catholic leaders and bipartisan criticism. This pattern, including a profanity-laced post last week, underscores the low barriers to such statements, though markets note resolution hinges on clear personal derogation by Eastern Time each day; upcoming press events or rallies could trigger further activity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$134,806
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "11 de abril" at 100%, followed by "12 de abril" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?" has generated $134.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?" is "11 de abril" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12 de abril" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.