Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April?

Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April?

80%

↑4.35%

$23 Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

69%

No Bond chosen

$2M Vol.

$110K Liq.

16

Ends em 3 meses

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

7%

$7.6K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

6

Ends em 9 meses

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

4%

$62.9K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

SBF released from custody in 2026?

SBF released from custody in 2026?

10%

$310K Vol.

$37.6K Liq.

1

Ends em 9 meses

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

6%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

29

Ends há 2 meses

US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

5%

$14.7K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

8%

$3.4K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

15%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

56

Ends há 2 meses

NJ-11 Special Election Winner

NJ-11 Special Election Winner

93%

Analilia Mejia

$2.9K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year

MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year

14%

Sean Johnson

$20.5K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

97%

↓3.64%

$2.7K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

77%

Kash Patel

$767K Vol.

$326K today

$169K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

56%

Lee Zeldin

$71.9K Vol.

$71.9K today

$156K Liq.

5

Ends em 3 meses

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

13%

$282K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

43

Ends em 9 meses

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

59%

↑ $1.20

$0 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Up

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 11 dias

Solana Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Solana Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Down

$21.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 2 meses

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$772 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 11 horas

Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Down

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like VíNculo.

Polymarket currently hosts 125 active markets for VíNculo that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on VíNculo predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.