Florida's 12th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a solidly Republican seat following spring 2026 redistricting that preserved its partisan character with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+17. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, who announced his re-election bid in late April, faces limited primary opposition while nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders on August 18 confront structural turnout and fundraising disadvantages in a district where recent presidential margins have favored Republicans by double digits. These factors underpin trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing in November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-12
$27,994 Объем
$27,994 Объем
Республиканская партия
81%
Демократическая партия
19%
$27,994 Объем
$27,994 Объем
Республиканская партия
81%
Демократическая партия
19%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a solidly Republican seat following spring 2026 redistricting that preserved its partisan character with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+17. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, who announced his re-election bid in late April, faces limited primary opposition while nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders on August 18 confront structural turnout and fundraising disadvantages in a district where recent presidential margins have favored Republicans by double digits. These factors underpin trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing in November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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