Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding lead in the Florida 12th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 14-point margin there in 2024 under the current map, combined with Bilirakis’s long tenure since 2007 and consistent reelection margins above 70 percent. The seat rates Solid Republican across major forecasters, supported by Bilirakis’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.5 million and endorsements from local law enforcement. Democrat Kimberly Overman, who won her August primary, faces limited resources and name recognition in a low-turnout midterm environment. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-12
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-12
$57,400 Объем
$57,400 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Гас Биларакис (Р)
93%
Кимберли Оверман (Д)
9%
$57,400 Объем
$57,400 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Гас Биларакис (Р)
$23,305 Объем
93%
Кимберли Оверман (Д)
$34,096 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding lead in the Florida 12th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 14-point margin there in 2024 under the current map, combined with Bilirakis’s long tenure since 2007 and consistent reelection margins above 70 percent. The seat rates Solid Republican across major forecasters, supported by Bilirakis’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.5 million and endorsements from local law enforcement. Democrat Kimberly Overman, who won her August primary, faces limited resources and name recognition in a low-turnout midterm environment. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Объем
$57,400Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding lead in the Florida 12th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 14-point margin there in 2024 under the current map, combined with Bilirakis’s long tenure since 2007 and consistent reelection margins above 70 percent. The seat rates Solid Republican across major forecasters, supported by Bilirakis’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.5 million and endorsements from local law enforcement. Democrat Kimberly Overman, who won her August primary, faces limited resources and name recognition in a low-turnout midterm environment. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$57,400Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding lead in the Florida 12th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 14-point margin there in 2024 under the current map, combined with Bilirakis’s long tenure since 2007 and consistent reelection margins above 70 percent. The seat rates Solid Republican across major forecasters, supported by Bilirakis’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.5 million and endorsements from local law enforcement. Democrat Kimberly Overman, who won her August primary, faces limited resources and name recognition in a low-turnout midterm environment. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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