Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate a most likely peak temperature in Austin on August 2 between 99°F and 101°F, reflecting a modest weakening of the upper-level ridge that drove recent triple-digit readings. Slight model spread arises from variable afternoon cloud cover, potential scattered convection along the I-35 corridor, and subtle steering flow shifts that could trim or add a degree or two. Historical August climatology for central Texas places normal highs near 96–98°F, so current conditions remain above average but not extreme. Traders are watching the next model cycle and morning NWS updates for any last adjustments ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 2 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 2 августа?
98-99°F 38%
100-101°F 38%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
91°F или ниже
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
98-99°F 38%
100-101°F 38%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
91°F или ниже
$27 Объем
1%
92-93°F
$53 Объем
1%
94-95°F
$29 Объем
2%
96-97°F
$380 Объем
7%
98-99°F
$85 Объем
38%
100-101°F
$97 Объем
38%
102-103°F
$11 Объем
14%
104-105°F
$1 Объем
5%
106-107°F
$47 Объем
4%
108-109°F
$53 Объем
<1%
110°F или выше
$87 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate a most likely peak temperature in Austin on August 2 between 99°F and 101°F, reflecting a modest weakening of the upper-level ridge that drove recent triple-digit readings. Slight model spread arises from variable afternoon cloud cover, potential scattered convection along the I-35 corridor, and subtle steering flow shifts that could trim or add a degree or two. Historical August climatology for central Texas places normal highs near 96–98°F, so current conditions remain above average but not extreme. Traders are watching the next model cycle and morning NWS updates for any last adjustments ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$870Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate a most likely peak temperature in Austin on August 2 between 99°F and 101°F, reflecting a modest weakening of the upper-level ridge that drove recent triple-digit readings. Slight model spread arises from variable afternoon cloud cover, potential scattered convection along the I-35 corridor, and subtle steering flow shifts that could trim or add a degree or two. Historical August climatology for central Texas places normal highs near 96–98°F, so current conditions remain above average but not extreme. Traders are watching the next model cycle and morning NWS updates for any last adjustments ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$870Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate a most likely peak temperature in Austin on August 2 between 99°F and 101°F, reflecting a modest weakening of the upper-level ridge that drove recent triple-digit readings. Slight model spread arises from variable afternoon cloud cover, potential scattered convection along the I-35 corridor, and subtle steering flow shifts that could trim or add a degree or two. Historical August climatology for central Texas places normal highs near 96–98°F, so current conditions remain above average but not extreme. Traders are watching the next model cycle and morning NWS updates for any last adjustments ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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