Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance and ensemble models point to a cooler-than-normal air mass over Denver on August 15, with daytime highs most likely peaking in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms, favored by available moisture and weak steering flow, introduce key uncertainty by potentially capping peak heating before temperatures reach the climatological August average near 88°F. Model consensus shows limited spread around 82–85°F, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 82–83°F bin at 33% while spreading probability across adjacent ranges. Updated runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this outlook, with resolution hinging on official observations at Denver International Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Денвере 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Денвере 15 августа?
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 24%
84-85°F 22%
86-87°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
73°F или ниже
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F или выше
<1%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 24%
84-85°F 22%
86-87°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
73°F или ниже
$147 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$60 Объем
3%
76-77°F
$306 Объем
3%
78-79°F
$109 Объем
4%
80-81°F
$30 Объем
24%
82-83°F
$59 Объем
34%
84-85°F
$139 Объем
22%
86-87°F
$124 Объем
5%
88-89°F
$75 Объем
1%
90-91°F
$102 Объем
<1%
92°F или выше
$81 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance and ensemble models point to a cooler-than-normal air mass over Denver on August 15, with daytime highs most likely peaking in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms, favored by available moisture and weak steering flow, introduce key uncertainty by potentially capping peak heating before temperatures reach the climatological August average near 88°F. Model consensus shows limited spread around 82–85°F, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 82–83°F bin at 33% while spreading probability across adjacent ranges. Updated runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this outlook, with resolution hinging on official observations at Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$1,232Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance and ensemble models point to a cooler-than-normal air mass over Denver on August 15, with daytime highs most likely peaking in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms, favored by available moisture and weak steering flow, introduce key uncertainty by potentially capping peak heating before temperatures reach the climatological August average near 88°F. Model consensus shows limited spread around 82–85°F, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 82–83°F bin at 33% while spreading probability across adjacent ranges. Updated runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this outlook, with resolution hinging on official observations at Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,232Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance and ensemble models point to a cooler-than-normal air mass over Denver on August 15, with daytime highs most likely peaking in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms, favored by available moisture and weak steering flow, introduce key uncertainty by potentially capping peak heating before temperatures reach the climatological August average near 88°F. Model consensus shows limited spread around 82–85°F, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 82–83°F bin at 33% while spreading probability across adjacent ranges. Updated runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this outlook, with resolution hinging on official observations at Denver International Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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