Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 19, 2026, reached precisely 30.0°C at the King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. Mainly fine skies and light winds prevailed, with ample sunshine fostering daytime heating amid seasonal above-normal temperatures forecasted for April under a warming climate trend. This aligns with HKO's multi-model consensus prior to the event, which projected a 30°C peak. While data revisions are exceedingly rare for established observations, an extraordinary measurement error or station malfunction could theoretically prompt review, though no such issues have surfaced in preliminary reports.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 19?
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$321,073 Объем
$321,073 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$321,073 Объем
$321,073 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$9,016 Объем
No
22°C
$2,282 Объем
No
23°C
$2,181 Объем
No
24°C
$3,382 Объем
No
25°C
$7,812 Объем
No
26°C
$10,505 Объем
No
27°C
$30,702 Объем
No
28°C
$70,888 Объем
No
29°C
$73,783 Объем
No
30°C
$66,464 Объем
Yes
31°C or higher
$44,059 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 19, 2026, reached precisely 30.0°C at the King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. Mainly fine skies and light winds prevailed, with ample sunshine fostering daytime heating amid seasonal above-normal temperatures forecasted for April under a warming climate trend. This aligns with HKO's multi-model consensus prior to the event, which projected a 30°C peak. While data revisions are exceedingly rare for established observations, an extraordinary measurement error or station malfunction could theoretically prompt review, though no such issues have surfaced in preliminary reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$321,073Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 19, 2026, reached precisely 30.0°C at the King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. Mainly fine skies and light winds prevailed, with ample sunshine fostering daytime heating amid seasonal above-normal temperatures forecasted for April under a warming climate trend. This aligns with HKO's multi-model consensus prior to the event, which projected a 30°C peak. While data revisions are exceedingly rare for established observations, an extraordinary measurement error or station malfunction could theoretically prompt review, though no such issues have surfaced in preliminary reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$321,073Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest air temperature on April 19, 2026, reached precisely 30.0°C at the King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. Mainly fine skies and light winds prevailed, with ample sunshine fostering daytime heating amid seasonal above-normal temperatures forecasted for April under a warming climate trend. This aligns with HKO's multi-model consensus prior to the event, which projected a 30°C peak. While data revisions are exceedingly rare for established observations, an extraordinary measurement error or station malfunction could theoretically prompt review, though no such issues have surfaced in preliminary reports.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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