Persistent high-pressure dominance across the Iberian Peninsula is sustaining clear skies and strong daytime radiative heating over Madrid, pushing forecast maximums into the upper 30s°C for September 3. Ensemble guidance from GFS and other models clusters the daily peak between 37–39 °C, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon wind speeds (light southerly flow) determining whether the high reaches or exceeds 38 °C. This setup deviates from September climatology (average high ~29 °C) due to ongoing subsidence and minimal Atlantic moisture influx. Trader consensus, reflected in near-even odds between 38 °C and 39 °C, aligns with the narrow uncertainty band in the final 48-hour forecast window; any late adjustment in model runs or observed surface observations could shift resolution between these two outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 3 сентября?
38°C 46%
39°C 41%
37°C 10%
40°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C
10%
38°C
46%
39°C
41%
40°C
6%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 46%
39°C 41%
37°C 10%
40°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
33°C or below
$58 Объем
<1%
34°C
$83 Объем
<1%
35°C
$38 Объем
1%
36°C
$43 Объем
4%
37°C
$103 Объем
10%
38°C
$247 Объем
46%
39°C
$222 Объем
41%
40°C
$56 Объем
6%
41°C
$53 Объем
2%
42°C
$62 Объем
1%
43°C or higher
$53 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure dominance across the Iberian Peninsula is sustaining clear skies and strong daytime radiative heating over Madrid, pushing forecast maximums into the upper 30s°C for September 3. Ensemble guidance from GFS and other models clusters the daily peak between 37–39 °C, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon wind speeds (light southerly flow) determining whether the high reaches or exceeds 38 °C. This setup deviates from September climatology (average high ~29 °C) due to ongoing subsidence and minimal Atlantic moisture influx. Trader consensus, reflected in near-even odds between 38 °C and 39 °C, aligns with the narrow uncertainty band in the final 48-hour forecast window; any late adjustment in model runs or observed surface observations could shift resolution between these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,003Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure dominance across the Iberian Peninsula is sustaining clear skies and strong daytime radiative heating over Madrid, pushing forecast maximums into the upper 30s°C for September 3. Ensemble guidance from GFS and other models clusters the daily peak between 37–39 °C, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon wind speeds (light southerly flow) determining whether the high reaches or exceeds 38 °C. This setup deviates from September climatology (average high ~29 °C) due to ongoing subsidence and minimal Atlantic moisture influx. Trader consensus, reflected in near-even odds between 38 °C and 39 °C, aligns with the narrow uncertainty band in the final 48-hour forecast window; any late adjustment in model runs or observed surface observations could shift resolution between these two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,003Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure dominance across the Iberian Peninsula is sustaining clear skies and strong daytime radiative heating over Madrid, pushing forecast maximums into the upper 30s°C for September 3. Ensemble guidance from GFS and other models clusters the daily peak between 37–39 °C, with subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon wind speeds (light southerly flow) determining whether the high reaches or exceeds 38 °C. This setup deviates from September climatology (average high ~29 °C) due to ongoing subsidence and minimal Atlantic moisture influx. Trader consensus, reflected in near-even odds between 38 °C and 39 °C, aligns with the narrow uncertainty band in the final 48-hour forecast window; any late adjustment in model runs or observed surface observations could shift resolution between these two outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы