Traders have converged on 28°C as the near-certain outcome for Panama City’s highest temperature on September 15 because official meteorological observations, including those from regional monitoring networks, recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate, where September highs typically range 27–30°C under prevailing trade-wind and ITCZ influences, the observed reading aligns with model consensus from prior days and shows no deviation from verified station data. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect residual uncertainty only in measurement rounding or micro-site differences, scenarios that official post-event verification has now ruled out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Панама-Сити 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Панама-Сити 15 сентября?
28°C 100.0%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,253 Объем
$21,253 Объем
15 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
28°C 100.0%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,253 Объем
$21,253 Объем
15 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$138 Объем
<1%
24°C
$88 Объем
<1%
25°C
$188 Объем
<1%
26°C
$150 Объем
<1%
27°C
$180 Объем
<1%
28°C
$1,176 Объем
100%
29°C
$1,465 Объем
<1%
30°C
$3,667 Объем
<1%
31°C
$8,328 Объем
<1%
32°C
$4,570 Объем
<1%
33°C или выше
$1,303 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 28°C as the near-certain outcome for Panama City’s highest temperature on September 15 because official meteorological observations, including those from regional monitoring networks, recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate, where September highs typically range 27–30°C under prevailing trade-wind and ITCZ influences, the observed reading aligns with model consensus from prior days and shows no deviation from verified station data. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect residual uncertainty only in measurement rounding or micro-site differences, scenarios that official post-event verification has now ruled out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Объем
$21,253Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 28°C as the near-certain outcome for Panama City’s highest temperature on September 15 because official meteorological observations, including those from regional monitoring networks, recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate, where September highs typically range 27–30°C under prevailing trade-wind and ITCZ influences, the observed reading aligns with model consensus from prior days and shows no deviation from verified station data. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect residual uncertainty only in measurement rounding or micro-site differences, scenarios that official post-event verification has now ruled out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$21,253Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on 28°C as the near-certain outcome for Panama City’s highest temperature on September 15 because official meteorological observations, including those from regional monitoring networks, recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate, where September highs typically range 27–30°C under prevailing trade-wind and ITCZ influences, the observed reading aligns with model consensus from prior days and shows no deviation from verified station data. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect residual uncertainty only in measurement rounding or micro-site differences, scenarios that official post-event verification has now ruled out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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