Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate a typical mid-August pattern under subtropical high pressure, with daytime maxima in Tel Aviv expected near 32–33°C. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C, reflecting climatological averages of 30–31°C highs for the period plus a modest warming trend from persistent clear skies and light winds. Sea surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean near 28–29°C limit further intensification, while minimal cloud cover and high solar radiation support the narrow spread favoring 33°C over 34°C. Updated model runs show no significant heat advection or extreme events, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 15 августа?
33°C 72%
34°C 25%
32°C 4%
35°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$19,472 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,472 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
72%
34°C
25%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 72%
34°C 25%
32°C 4%
35°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$19,472 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,472 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
$488 Объем
<1%
31°C
$1,763 Объем
<1%
32°C
$2,577 Объем
4%
33°C
$6,058 Объем
72%
34°C
$2,928 Объем
25%
35°C
$1,442 Объем
1%
36°C
$1,163 Объем
<1%
37°C
$1,167 Объем
<1%
38°C
$945 Объем
<1%
39°C
$288 Объем
<1%
40°C or higher
$654 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate a typical mid-August pattern under subtropical high pressure, with daytime maxima in Tel Aviv expected near 32–33°C. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C, reflecting climatological averages of 30–31°C highs for the period plus a modest warming trend from persistent clear skies and light winds. Sea surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean near 28–29°C limit further intensification, while minimal cloud cover and high solar radiation support the narrow spread favoring 33°C over 34°C. Updated model runs show no significant heat advection or extreme events, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$19,472Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate a typical mid-August pattern under subtropical high pressure, with daytime maxima in Tel Aviv expected near 32–33°C. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C, reflecting climatological averages of 30–31°C highs for the period plus a modest warming trend from persistent clear skies and light winds. Sea surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean near 28–29°C limit further intensification, while minimal cloud cover and high solar radiation support the narrow spread favoring 33°C over 34°C. Updated model runs show no significant heat advection or extreme events, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$19,472Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate a typical mid-August pattern under subtropical high pressure, with daytime maxima in Tel Aviv expected near 32–33°C. This aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C, reflecting climatological averages of 30–31°C highs for the period plus a modest warming trend from persistent clear skies and light winds. Sea surface temperatures in the eastern Mediterranean near 28–29°C limit further intensification, while minimal cloud cover and high solar radiation support the narrow spread favoring 33°C over 34°C. Updated model runs show no significant heat advection or extreme events, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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