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icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 76%

Morgan Stanley 23%

UBS 1.9%

Bank of America 1.0%

Polymarket

$42,650 Объем

Goldman Sachs 76%

Morgan Stanley 23%

UBS 1.9%

Bank of America 1.0%

Polymarket

$42,650 Объем

icon for Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs

$7,177 Объем

76%

icon for Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley

$8,024 Объем

23%

icon for UBS

UBS

$3,354 Объем

2%

icon for Bank of America

Bank of America

$2,356 Объем

1%

icon for JPMorgan

JPMorgan

$3,802 Объем

<1%

icon for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo

$3,108 Объем

<1%

icon for Citigroup

Citigroup

$2,522 Объем

<1%

icon for Barclays

Barclays

$3,392 Объем

<1%

icon for Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank

$8,915 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds the dominant 75.5% market-implied probability for lead bank on OpenAI’s IPO due to its recent capture of the “lead left” role on the SpaceX offering and broader dominance in high-profile tech listings. Trader consensus reflects the bank’s established relationships with OpenAI and Anthropic, where both firms have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners but have yet to finalize the lead designation. Separate deal teams created by the banks to manage conflicts between the rival AI companies further underscore Goldman’s positioning. Potential delays into 2027 amid market volatility represent the main swing factor that could still alter these odds before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$42,650
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds the dominant 75.5% market-implied probability for lead bank on OpenAI’s IPO due to its recent capture of the “lead left” role on the SpaceX offering and broader dominance in high-profile tech listings. Trader consensus reflects the bank’s established relationships with OpenAI and Anthropic, where both firms have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners but have yet to finalize the lead designation. Separate deal teams created by the banks to manage conflicts between the rival AI companies further underscore Goldman’s positioning. Potential delays into 2027 amid market volatility represent the main swing factor that could still alter these odds before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$42,650
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Связанные

icon for Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

49%
icon for Будет ли рыночная капитализация OpenAI составлять $1,5 трлн или больше к закрытию торгов в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?

Будет ли рыночная капитализация OpenAI составлять $1,5 трлн или больше к закрытию торгов в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?

43%
Да
icon for Рыночная капитализация OpenAI после IPO превысит $800 млрд?

Рыночная капитализация OpenAI после IPO превысит $800 млрд?

89%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Goldman Sachs» с 76%, за ним следует «Morgan Stanley» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 76¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 76%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $42.7K с момента запуска рынка May 21, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?» — «Goldman Sachs» с 76%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 76%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Morgan Stanley» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.