Goldman Sachs holds the dominant 75.5% market-implied probability for lead bank on OpenAI’s IPO due to its recent capture of the “lead left” role on the SpaceX offering and broader dominance in high-profile tech listings. Trader consensus reflects the bank’s established relationships with OpenAI and Anthropic, where both firms have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners but have yet to finalize the lead designation. Separate deal teams created by the banks to manage conflicts between the rival AI companies further underscore Goldman’s positioning. Potential delays into 2027 amid market volatility represent the main swing factor that could still alter these odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 76%
Morgan Stanley 23%
UBS 1.9%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,650 Объем
$42,650 Объем

Goldman Sachs
76%

Morgan Stanley
23%

UBS
2%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%
Goldman Sachs 76%
Morgan Stanley 23%
UBS 1.9%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,650 Объем
$42,650 Объем

Goldman Sachs
76%

Morgan Stanley
23%

UBS
2%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds the dominant 75.5% market-implied probability for lead bank on OpenAI’s IPO due to its recent capture of the “lead left” role on the SpaceX offering and broader dominance in high-profile tech listings. Trader consensus reflects the bank’s established relationships with OpenAI and Anthropic, where both firms have engaged Goldman and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners but have yet to finalize the lead designation. Separate deal teams created by the banks to manage conflicts between the rival AI companies further underscore Goldman’s positioning. Potential delays into 2027 amid market volatility represent the main swing factor that could still alter these odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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