Recent forecasts from sources including GFS and Yr.no indicate Amsterdam will see mostly cloudy to overcast skies overnight into September 2, with southwesterly winds maintaining a mild maritime air mass and limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports overnight lows near 13–15°C, aligning with the market's leading 14°C outcome at 55% implied probability. The 9°C-or-below option at 45.5% reflects uncertainty over potential clearer breaks that could enhance cooling toward historical September averages around 12°C or rarer dips. Model consensus currently favors the higher end of the range given persistent cloud cover and no strong cold advection, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind patterns could alter the minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Амстердаме 2 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 2 сентября?
9°C or below 100%
16°C 100%
15°C 98%
14°C 52%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
9°C or below
100%
10°C
9%
11°C
10%
12°C
15%
13°C
37%
14°C
52%
15°C
98%
16°C
100%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C or higher
15%
9°C or below 100%
16°C 100%
15°C 98%
14°C 52%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$5 Объем
100%
10°C
$63 Объем
9%
11°C
$0 Объем
10%
12°C
$0 Объем
15%
13°C
$0 Объем
37%
14°C
$0 Объем
52%
15°C
$0 Объем
98%
16°C
$0 Объем
100%
17°C
$20 Объем
20%
18°C
$5 Объем
20%
19°C or higher
$5 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including GFS and Yr.no indicate Amsterdam will see mostly cloudy to overcast skies overnight into September 2, with southwesterly winds maintaining a mild maritime air mass and limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports overnight lows near 13–15°C, aligning with the market's leading 14°C outcome at 55% implied probability. The 9°C-or-below option at 45.5% reflects uncertainty over potential clearer breaks that could enhance cooling toward historical September averages around 12°C or rarer dips. Model consensus currently favors the higher end of the range given persistent cloud cover and no strong cold advection, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind patterns could alter the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$98Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including GFS and Yr.no indicate Amsterdam will see mostly cloudy to overcast skies overnight into September 2, with southwesterly winds maintaining a mild maritime air mass and limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports overnight lows near 13–15°C, aligning with the market's leading 14°C outcome at 55% implied probability. The 9°C-or-below option at 45.5% reflects uncertainty over potential clearer breaks that could enhance cooling toward historical September averages around 12°C or rarer dips. Model consensus currently favors the higher end of the range given persistent cloud cover and no strong cold advection, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind patterns could alter the minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$98Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including GFS and Yr.no indicate Amsterdam will see mostly cloudy to overcast skies overnight into September 2, with southwesterly winds maintaining a mild maritime air mass and limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports overnight lows near 13–15°C, aligning with the market's leading 14°C outcome at 55% implied probability. The 9°C-or-below option at 45.5% reflects uncertainty over potential clearer breaks that could enhance cooling toward historical September averages around 12°C or rarer dips. Model consensus currently favors the higher end of the range given persistent cloud cover and no strong cold advection, though small shifts in cloud timing or wind patterns could alter the minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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