Trader consensus heavily favors a 13°C low in Beijing on September 12, reflecting aggregated model outputs and observational trends showing clear skies, light southerly winds, and radiative cooling overnight that align with this threshold. Authoritative forecasts from global and regional meteorological systems indicate minimum temperatures settling near this level amid typical early-September conditions, with dew points supporting efficient heat loss and no significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate the drop. This positioning draws on historical baselines around 16–17°C averages for the date while incorporating current synoptic patterns. A warmer outcome could emerge if urban heat effects or revised station data elevate readings, or if models underestimating boundary-layer mixing prove inaccurate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пекине 12 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Пекине 12 сентября?
13°C 98%
11°C 62%
10°C или ниже 33%
14°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
33%
11°C
62%
12°C
-
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
13°C 98%
11°C 62%
10°C или ниже 33%
14°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$10 Объем
33%
11°C
$0 Объем
62%
12°C
$25 Объем
-
13°C
$61 Объем
98%
14°C
$386 Объем
<1%
15°C
$126 Объем
<1%
16°C
$90 Объем
<1%
17°C
$500 Объем
<1%
18°C
$25 Объем
<1%
19°C
$227 Объем
<1%
20°C или выше
$35 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 13°C low in Beijing on September 12, reflecting aggregated model outputs and observational trends showing clear skies, light southerly winds, and radiative cooling overnight that align with this threshold. Authoritative forecasts from global and regional meteorological systems indicate minimum temperatures settling near this level amid typical early-September conditions, with dew points supporting efficient heat loss and no significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate the drop. This positioning draws on historical baselines around 16–17°C averages for the date while incorporating current synoptic patterns. A warmer outcome could emerge if urban heat effects or revised station data elevate readings, or if models underestimating boundary-layer mixing prove inaccurate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,485Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 13°C low in Beijing on September 12, reflecting aggregated model outputs and observational trends showing clear skies, light southerly winds, and radiative cooling overnight that align with this threshold. Authoritative forecasts from global and regional meteorological systems indicate minimum temperatures settling near this level amid typical early-September conditions, with dew points supporting efficient heat loss and no significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate the drop. This positioning draws on historical baselines around 16–17°C averages for the date while incorporating current synoptic patterns. A warmer outcome could emerge if urban heat effects or revised station data elevate readings, or if models underestimating boundary-layer mixing prove inaccurate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,485Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 13°C low in Beijing on September 12, reflecting aggregated model outputs and observational trends showing clear skies, light southerly winds, and radiative cooling overnight that align with this threshold. Authoritative forecasts from global and regional meteorological systems indicate minimum temperatures settling near this level amid typical early-September conditions, with dew points supporting efficient heat loss and no significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate the drop. This positioning draws on historical baselines around 16–17°C averages for the date while incorporating current synoptic patterns. A warmer outcome could emerge if urban heat effects or revised station data elevate readings, or if models underestimating boundary-layer mixing prove inaccurate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы