Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 30 likely between 21–23°C, driven by partly cloudy to clear overnight conditions following earlier rain that reduced daytime heating. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin setting, with its moderate humidity and light winds, promotes radiative cooling under clear skies while limiting extreme drops compared to higher-elevation sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any late frontal passage. Historical August lows average near 22°C, providing context for the balanced probabilities across 22–24°C outcomes, with resolution depending on official overnight readings from local meteorological stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 30 августа?
18°C or below 84%
21°C 69%
26°C 66%
28°C or higher 65%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
18°C or below
84%
19°C
31%
20°C
34%
21°C
69%
22°C
43%
23°C
47%
24°C
46%
25°C
2%
26°C
66%
27°C
59%
28°C or higher
65%
18°C or below 84%
21°C 69%
26°C 66%
28°C or higher 65%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
18°C or below
$5 Объем
84%
19°C
$54 Объем
31%
20°C
$0 Объем
34%
21°C
$0 Объем
69%
22°C
$0 Объем
43%
23°C
$0 Объем
47%
24°C
$0 Объем
46%
25°C
$0 Объем
2%
26°C
$10 Объем
66%
27°C
$145 Объем
59%
28°C or higher
$145 Объем
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 30 likely between 21–23°C, driven by partly cloudy to clear overnight conditions following earlier rain that reduced daytime heating. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin setting, with its moderate humidity and light winds, promotes radiative cooling under clear skies while limiting extreme drops compared to higher-elevation sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any late frontal passage. Historical August lows average near 22°C, providing context for the balanced probabilities across 22–24°C outcomes, with resolution depending on official overnight readings from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$359Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 30 likely between 21–23°C, driven by partly cloudy to clear overnight conditions following earlier rain that reduced daytime heating. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin setting, with its moderate humidity and light winds, promotes radiative cooling under clear skies while limiting extreme drops compared to higher-elevation sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any late frontal passage. Historical August lows average near 22°C, providing context for the balanced probabilities across 22–24°C outcomes, with resolution depending on official overnight readings from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$359Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 30 likely between 21–23°C, driven by partly cloudy to clear overnight conditions following earlier rain that reduced daytime heating. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin setting, with its moderate humidity and light winds, promotes radiative cooling under clear skies while limiting extreme drops compared to higher-elevation sites. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any late frontal passage. Historical August lows average near 22°C, providing context for the balanced probabilities across 22–24°C outcomes, with resolution depending on official overnight readings from local meteorological stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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