**Forecast uncertainty for Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 13 stems from a transitioning synoptic pattern, with a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to cooler northwest flow and possible showers.** Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble runs place the expected low near 10–12 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 9.7 °C for the date. However, modest model spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud cover keeps both sub-7 °C and 14+ °C outcomes viable, explaining the near-even 50 % market-implied odds on the extremes. Historical extremes for September 13 range from 1.2 °C (1973) to 20.7 °C (2002), underscoring the potential for rapid shifts. Traders will monitor the next ECMWF and GFS updates plus any FMI nowcasting adjustments through the weekend for resolution signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Хельсинки 13 сентября?
16°C или выше 96%
6°C или ниже 95%
7°C 39%
8°C 39%
6°C или ниже
95%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
24%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C или выше
96%
16°C или выше 96%
6°C или ниже 95%
7°C 39%
8°C 39%
6°C или ниже
95%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
24%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C или выше
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty for Helsinki's overnight minimum on September 13 stems from a transitioning synoptic pattern, with a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to cooler northwest flow and possible showers.** Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble runs place the expected low near 10–12 °C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 9.7 °C for the date. However, modest model spread in boundary-layer cooling and cloud cover keeps both sub-7 °C and 14+ °C outcomes viable, explaining the near-even 50 % market-implied odds on the extremes. Historical extremes for September 13 range from 1.2 °C (1973) to 20.7 °C (2002), underscoring the potential for rapid shifts. Traders will monitor the next ECMWF and GFS updates plus any FMI nowcasting adjustments through the weekend for resolution signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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