Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Istanbul nighttime lows near 18–21°C for August 23, aligning with climatological averages for late summer under Mediterranean influences from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea. Trader emphasis on the 16°C-or-below bucket at 41% likely reflects model consensus around potential cloud cover or a weak frontal passage enhancing radiative cooling, while mid-20s options at lower probabilities capture upside from clear, humid conditions that limit overnight drops. With resolution imminent, updated NHC-style regional guidance and local station observations will drive any final shifts in implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 23 августа?
16°C or below 43%
21°C 37%
18°C 32%
25°C 32%
16°C or below
43%
17°C
19%
18°C
32%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
27%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
32%
26°C or higher
12%
16°C or below 43%
21°C 37%
18°C 32%
25°C 32%
16°C or below
43%
17°C
19%
18°C
32%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
27%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
32%
26°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Istanbul nighttime lows near 18–21°C for August 23, aligning with climatological averages for late summer under Mediterranean influences from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea. Trader emphasis on the 16°C-or-below bucket at 41% likely reflects model consensus around potential cloud cover or a weak frontal passage enhancing radiative cooling, while mid-20s options at lower probabilities capture upside from clear, humid conditions that limit overnight drops. With resolution imminent, updated NHC-style regional guidance and local station observations will drive any final shifts in implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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