Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs and local Turkish meteorological guidance, indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 29 will most likely settle between 19–21 °C. Northerly winds and variable cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and drizzle have kept surface temperatures from dropping sharply below seasonal norms. The strong market-implied probability around 21 °C reflects the latest model consensus favoring the upper end of that range, with lower outcomes (19–20 °C) retaining secondary support from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated runs through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 29 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 29 августа?
17°C 2%
18°C 2%
16°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
$1,237 Объем
$1,237 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
33%
20°C
43%
21°C
61%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
17°C 2%
18°C 2%
16°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
$1,237 Объем
$1,237 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
15°C or below
$225 Объем
1%
16°C
$95 Объем
1%
17°C
$32 Объем
2%
18°C
$95 Объем
2%
19°C
$40 Объем
33%
20°C
$35 Объем
43%
21°C
$377 Объем
61%
22°C
$225 Объем
<1%
23°C
$50 Объем
<1%
24°C
$20 Объем
<1%
25°C or higher
$43 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs and local Turkish meteorological guidance, indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 29 will most likely settle between 19–21 °C. Northerly winds and variable cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and drizzle have kept surface temperatures from dropping sharply below seasonal norms. The strong market-implied probability around 21 °C reflects the latest model consensus favoring the upper end of that range, with lower outcomes (19–20 °C) retaining secondary support from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated runs through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$1,237Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs and local Turkish meteorological guidance, indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 29 will most likely settle between 19–21 °C. Northerly winds and variable cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and drizzle have kept surface temperatures from dropping sharply below seasonal norms. The strong market-implied probability around 21 °C reflects the latest model consensus favoring the upper end of that range, with lower outcomes (19–20 °C) retaining secondary support from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated runs through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,237Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models, including GFS outputs and local Turkish meteorological guidance, indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 29 will most likely settle between 19–21 °C. Northerly winds and variable cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling, while scattered showers and drizzle have kept surface temperatures from dropping sharply below seasonal norms. The strong market-implied probability around 21 °C reflects the latest model consensus favoring the upper end of that range, with lower outcomes (19–20 °C) retaining secondary support from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated runs through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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