Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high around 27–29°C, consistent with late-summer patterns where the Black Sea and Marmara moderate extremes. Recent cooler-than-normal temperatures and scattered showers through August 29 have kept surface moisture higher, limiting further overnight drops. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 20–23°C outcomes, aligns with this model agreement and the low historical chance of sub-18°C readings at this latitude and season. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance expected overnight could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 30 августа?
25°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
23°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
2%
17°C
16%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
2%
25°C
50%
26°C or higher
5%
25°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
23°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$10 Объем
2%
17°C
$140 Объем
16%
18°C
$0 Объем
26%
19°C
$0 Объем
26%
20°C
$0 Объем
26%
21°C
$0 Объем
27%
22°C
$0 Объем
40%
23°C
$0 Объем
27%
24°C
$0 Объем
2%
25°C
$10 Объем
50%
26°C or higher
$250 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high around 27–29°C, consistent with late-summer patterns where the Black Sea and Marmara moderate extremes. Recent cooler-than-normal temperatures and scattered showers through August 29 have kept surface moisture higher, limiting further overnight drops. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 20–23°C outcomes, aligns with this model agreement and the low historical chance of sub-18°C readings at this latitude and season. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance expected overnight could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$410Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high around 27–29°C, consistent with late-summer patterns where the Black Sea and Marmara moderate extremes. Recent cooler-than-normal temperatures and scattered showers through August 29 have kept surface moisture higher, limiting further overnight drops. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 20–23°C outcomes, aligns with this model agreement and the low historical chance of sub-18°C readings at this latitude and season. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance expected overnight could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$410Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high around 27–29°C, consistent with late-summer patterns where the Black Sea and Marmara moderate extremes. Recent cooler-than-normal temperatures and scattered showers through August 29 have kept surface moisture higher, limiting further overnight drops. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 20–23°C outcomes, aligns with this model agreement and the low historical chance of sub-18°C readings at this latitude and season. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent regional guidance expected overnight could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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