Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Istanbul on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of scattered showers and northerly winds of 10-15 mph. This consensus supports the market's tight clustering of probabilities around 18-22°C outcomes. Differentiation among bins stems from model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling—clearer intervals could allow drops toward 18°C or below, while persistent cloud cover and light precipitation would moderate lows closer to 21-23°C. Historical September minima average near 17°C, but recent warmer anomalies and the short forecast horizon keep implied odds balanced between moderate and outlier scenarios ahead of final overnight readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 13 сентября?
15°C или ниже 88%
25°C или выше 88%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
88%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
22%
19°C
24%
20°C
23%
21°C
40%
22°C
19%
23°C
19%
24°C
18%
25°C или выше
88%
15°C или ниже 88%
25°C или выше 88%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$0 Объем
88%
16°C
$0 Объем
40%
17°C
$0 Объем
40%
18°C
$0 Объем
22%
19°C
$5 Объем
24%
20°C
$0 Объем
23%
21°C
$0 Объем
40%
22°C
$0 Объем
19%
23°C
$0 Объем
19%
24°C
$0 Объем
18%
25°C или выше
$0 Объем
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Istanbul on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of scattered showers and northerly winds of 10-15 mph. This consensus supports the market's tight clustering of probabilities around 18-22°C outcomes. Differentiation among bins stems from model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling—clearer intervals could allow drops toward 18°C or below, while persistent cloud cover and light precipitation would moderate lows closer to 21-23°C. Historical September minima average near 17°C, but recent warmer anomalies and the short forecast horizon keep implied odds balanced between moderate and outlier scenarios ahead of final overnight readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$5Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Istanbul on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of scattered showers and northerly winds of 10-15 mph. This consensus supports the market's tight clustering of probabilities around 18-22°C outcomes. Differentiation among bins stems from model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling—clearer intervals could allow drops toward 18°C or below, while persistent cloud cover and light precipitation would moderate lows closer to 21-23°C. Historical September minima average near 17°C, but recent warmer anomalies and the short forecast horizon keep implied odds balanced between moderate and outlier scenarios ahead of final overnight readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Istanbul on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with a chance of scattered showers and northerly winds of 10-15 mph. This consensus supports the market's tight clustering of probabilities around 18-22°C outcomes. Differentiation among bins stems from model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling—clearer intervals could allow drops toward 18°C or below, while persistent cloud cover and light precipitation would moderate lows closer to 21-23°C. Historical September minima average near 17°C, but recent warmer anomalies and the short forecast horizon keep implied odds balanced between moderate and outlier scenarios ahead of final overnight readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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