Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and southwest monsoon winds are keeping overnight temperatures in Manila close to 25–26°C in the latest model runs for September 6, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the middle outcomes. Scattered thunderstorms and near-100% cloud fractions limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop readings further. Historical September minima average near 25°C, but day-to-day model variability in timing and intensity of showers creates the observed spread, with lower-probability tails reflecting the small chance of clearer breaks or stronger monsoon surges. Updated NHC and local PAGASA guidance on convective activity will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Маниле 6 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Маниле 6 сентября?
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
31%
22°C
19%
23°C
49%
24°C
32%
25°C
33%
26°C
32%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C или выше
33%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$0 Объем
31%
22°C
$0 Объем
19%
23°C
$0 Объем
49%
24°C
$0 Объем
32%
25°C
$0 Объем
33%
26°C
$0 Объем
32%
27°C
$0 Объем
49%
28°C
$0 Объем
49%
29°C
$0 Объем
49%
30°C
$0 Объем
2%
31°C или выше
$0 Объем
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and southwest monsoon winds are keeping overnight temperatures in Manila close to 25–26°C in the latest model runs for September 6, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the middle outcomes. Scattered thunderstorms and near-100% cloud fractions limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop readings further. Historical September minima average near 25°C, but day-to-day model variability in timing and intensity of showers creates the observed spread, with lower-probability tails reflecting the small chance of clearer breaks or stronger monsoon surges. Updated NHC and local PAGASA guidance on convective activity will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and southwest monsoon winds are keeping overnight temperatures in Manila close to 25–26°C in the latest model runs for September 6, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the middle outcomes. Scattered thunderstorms and near-100% cloud fractions limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop readings further. Historical September minima average near 25°C, but day-to-day model variability in timing and intensity of showers creates the observed spread, with lower-probability tails reflecting the small chance of clearer breaks or stronger monsoon surges. Updated NHC and local PAGASA guidance on convective activity will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and southwest monsoon winds are keeping overnight temperatures in Manila close to 25–26°C in the latest model runs for September 6, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the middle outcomes. Scattered thunderstorms and near-100% cloud fractions limit radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop readings further. Historical September minima average near 25°C, but day-to-day model variability in timing and intensity of showers creates the observed spread, with lower-probability tails reflecting the small chance of clearer breaks or stronger monsoon surges. Updated NHC and local PAGASA guidance on convective activity will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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