Current forecasts from global models indicate a frontal system bringing showers and cloud cover to Munich on September 14, moderating overnight lows toward the 14–16°C range while limiting daytime highs near 20–21°C. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs show notable uncertainty in precipitation timing and cloud persistence, which directly influences radiative cooling and minimum temperatures. This scientific variability underpins the closely matched market-implied odds, with 9°C or below and 19°C or higher both at 34% reflecting trader assessment of potential cooler drainage or warmer advection scenarios. Historical September lows average 10.2°C, but recent model shifts emphasize the narrow window before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мюнхене 14 сентября?
9°C или ниже 78%
19°C или выше 78%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
9°C или ниже
78%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
21%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C
22%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C или выше
78%
9°C или ниже 78%
19°C или выше 78%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
9°C или ниже
78%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
21%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C
22%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C или выше
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global models indicate a frontal system bringing showers and cloud cover to Munich on September 14, moderating overnight lows toward the 14–16°C range while limiting daytime highs near 20–21°C. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF runs show notable uncertainty in precipitation timing and cloud persistence, which directly influences radiative cooling and minimum temperatures. This scientific variability underpins the closely matched market-implied odds, with 9°C or below and 19°C or higher both at 34% reflecting trader assessment of potential cooler drainage or warmer advection scenarios. Historical September lows average 10.2°C, but recent model shifts emphasize the narrow window before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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