Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and Meteo-France currently project a minimum temperature in Paris on September 14 around 16–18°C, driven by mild overnight conditions with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. These factors support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C while leaving room for 12°C or lower if clearer skies develop and enhance overnight heat loss. Historical September averages near 11.6°C provide context, yet the current warm anomaly stems from persistent high pressure and southerly flow. Updated model runs and official Meteo-France briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 14 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 14 сентября?
12°C или ниже 38%
15°C 35%
16°C 32%
14°C 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
38%
13°C
21%
14°C
25%
15°C
35%
16°C
32%
17°C
21%
18°C
25%
19°C
20%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C или выше
2%
12°C или ниже 38%
15°C 35%
16°C 32%
14°C 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$0 Объем
38%
13°C
$0 Объем
21%
14°C
$0 Объем
25%
15°C
$308 Объем
35%
16°C
$176 Объем
32%
17°C
$0 Объем
21%
18°C
$0 Объем
25%
19°C
$42 Объем
20%
20°C
$0 Объем
2%
21°C
$0 Объем
2%
22°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and Meteo-France currently project a minimum temperature in Paris on September 14 around 16–18°C, driven by mild overnight conditions with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. These factors support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C while leaving room for 12°C or lower if clearer skies develop and enhance overnight heat loss. Historical September averages near 11.6°C provide context, yet the current warm anomaly stems from persistent high pressure and southerly flow. Updated model runs and official Meteo-France briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$526Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and Meteo-France currently project a minimum temperature in Paris on September 14 around 16–18°C, driven by mild overnight conditions with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. These factors support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C while leaving room for 12°C or lower if clearer skies develop and enhance overnight heat loss. Historical September averages near 11.6°C provide context, yet the current warm anomaly stems from persistent high pressure and southerly flow. Updated model runs and official Meteo-France briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$526Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and Meteo-France currently project a minimum temperature in Paris on September 14 around 16–18°C, driven by mild overnight conditions with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and elevated humidity that limits radiative cooling. These factors support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–16°C while leaving room for 12°C or lower if clearer skies develop and enhance overnight heat loss. Historical September averages near 11.6°C provide context, yet the current warm anomaly stems from persistent high pressure and southerly flow. Updated model runs and official Meteo-France briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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