Recent cooling trends driven by northerly winds and frontal passages have lowered forecast minimums for Qingdao on August 31 toward 21–23°C according to multiple model runs, aligning with the market's elevated implied probability around 21°C and adjacent bins. Coastal marine influence typically moderates extremes in this region, yet persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances in late-month guidance introduce variability that could push overnight lows lower if stronger advection occurs. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while the 48% weighting on 18°C or below reflects trader assessment of model spread and potential for sharper drops near resolution. Updated NHC-equivalent regional forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before the daily minimum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Циндао 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Циндао 31 августа?
18°C or below 93%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
18°C or below
93%
19°C
49%
20°C
25%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
43%
26°C
43%
27°C
43%
28°C or higher
40%
18°C or below 93%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
18°C or below
$0 Объем
93%
19°C
$0 Объем
49%
20°C
$0 Объем
25%
21°C
$0 Объем
26%
22°C
$0 Объем
26%
23°C
$0 Объем
49%
24°C
$0 Объем
49%
25°C
$0 Объем
43%
26°C
$0 Объем
43%
27°C
$0 Объем
43%
28°C or higher
$0 Объем
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling trends driven by northerly winds and frontal passages have lowered forecast minimums for Qingdao on August 31 toward 21–23°C according to multiple model runs, aligning with the market's elevated implied probability around 21°C and adjacent bins. Coastal marine influence typically moderates extremes in this region, yet persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances in late-month guidance introduce variability that could push overnight lows lower if stronger advection occurs. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while the 48% weighting on 18°C or below reflects trader assessment of model spread and potential for sharper drops near resolution. Updated NHC-equivalent regional forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling trends driven by northerly winds and frontal passages have lowered forecast minimums for Qingdao on August 31 toward 21–23°C according to multiple model runs, aligning with the market's elevated implied probability around 21°C and adjacent bins. Coastal marine influence typically moderates extremes in this region, yet persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances in late-month guidance introduce variability that could push overnight lows lower if stronger advection occurs. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while the 48% weighting on 18°C or below reflects trader assessment of model spread and potential for sharper drops near resolution. Updated NHC-equivalent regional forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling trends driven by northerly winds and frontal passages have lowered forecast minimums for Qingdao on August 31 toward 21–23°C according to multiple model runs, aligning with the market's elevated implied probability around 21°C and adjacent bins. Coastal marine influence typically moderates extremes in this region, yet persistent cloud cover and precipitation chances in late-month guidance introduce variability that could push overnight lows lower if stronger advection occurs. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, while the 48% weighting on 18°C or below reflects trader assessment of model spread and potential for sharper drops near resolution. Updated NHC-equivalent regional forecasts and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds before the daily minimum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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