**Forecast models for Qingdao on August 30, 2026, point to overnight lows in the low- to mid-20s Celsius, shaped by typical late-summer conditions in the region.** Recent model runs show a modest cooling trend from earlier in the week, with northerly winds and variable cloud cover expected to influence the exact minimum. High humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms can limit radiative cooling, while clearer intervals or lighter winds favor lower readings. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (40%), followed closely by cooler thresholds such as 19°C or below (33%) and 21°C (26.5%), reflecting uncertainty around how much nighttime cooling will occur under the forecast pattern. Key differentiating variables include the extent of cloud cover (which traps heat), wind strength and direction (northerly flow can advect slightly cooler air), and any precipitation timing, all of which can shift the low by 1–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will refine these details in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Циндао 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Циндао 30 августа?
22°C 40%
19°C or below 32%
21°C 27%
23°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
32%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
2%
25°C
25%
26°C
12%
27°C
13%
28°C
14%
29°C or higher
26%
22°C 40%
19°C or below 32%
21°C 27%
23°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$0 Объем
32%
20°C
$0 Объем
26%
21°C
$0 Объем
27%
22°C
$0 Объем
40%
23°C
$0 Объем
27%
24°C
$0 Объем
2%
25°C
$0 Объем
25%
26°C
$20 Объем
12%
27°C
$5 Объем
13%
28°C
$5 Объем
14%
29°C or higher
$145 Объем
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Qingdao on August 30, 2026, point to overnight lows in the low- to mid-20s Celsius, shaped by typical late-summer conditions in the region.** Recent model runs show a modest cooling trend from earlier in the week, with northerly winds and variable cloud cover expected to influence the exact minimum. High humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms can limit radiative cooling, while clearer intervals or lighter winds favor lower readings.
Traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (40%), followed closely by cooler thresholds such as 19°C or below (33%) and 21°C (26.5%), reflecting uncertainty around how much nighttime cooling will occur under the forecast pattern. Key differentiating variables include the extent of cloud cover (which traps heat), wind strength and direction (northerly flow can advect slightly cooler air), and any precipitation timing, all of which can shift the low by 1–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will refine these details in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$175Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Qingdao on August 30, 2026, point to overnight lows in the low- to mid-20s Celsius, shaped by typical late-summer conditions in the region.** Recent model runs show a modest cooling trend from earlier in the week, with northerly winds and variable cloud cover expected to influence the exact minimum. High humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms can limit radiative cooling, while clearer intervals or lighter winds favor lower readings.
Traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (40%), followed closely by cooler thresholds such as 19°C or below (33%) and 21°C (26.5%), reflecting uncertainty around how much nighttime cooling will occur under the forecast pattern. Key differentiating variables include the extent of cloud cover (which traps heat), wind strength and direction (northerly flow can advect slightly cooler air), and any precipitation timing, all of which can shift the low by 1–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will refine these details in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$175Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Qingdao on August 30, 2026, point to overnight lows in the low- to mid-20s Celsius, shaped by typical late-summer conditions in the region.** Recent model runs show a modest cooling trend from earlier in the week, with northerly winds and variable cloud cover expected to influence the exact minimum. High humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms can limit radiative cooling, while clearer intervals or lighter winds favor lower readings. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (40%), followed closely by cooler thresholds such as 19°C or below (33%) and 21°C (26.5%), reflecting uncertainty around how much nighttime cooling will occur under the forecast pattern. Key differentiating variables include the extent of cloud cover (which traps heat), wind strength and direction (northerly flow can advect slightly cooler air), and any precipitation timing, all of which can shift the low by 1–3°C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will refine these details in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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