Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models position 23°C as the leading outcome for Seoul/Incheon’s minimum temperature on September 2, reflecting a stable post-summer high-pressure ridge with light northerly winds and clear overnight skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average lows near 22–24°C prevail absent strong frontal passages. Traders’ 51% implied probability on 23°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, while 24°C at 25.5% captures any modest warm advection. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the next 12–24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift resolution toward adjacent bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 2 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 2 сентября?
23°C 49%
24°C 26%
22°C 15%
21°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
27%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
23°C 49%
24°C 26%
22°C 15%
21°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$209 Объем
<1%
19°C
$209 Объем
<1%
20°C
$192 Объем
1%
21°C
$192 Объем
5%
22°C
$303 Объем
27%
23°C
$423 Объем
49%
24°C
$633 Объем
26%
25°C
$6 Объем
1%
26°C
$135 Объем
<1%
27°C
$122 Объем
<1%
28°C или выше
$130 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models position 23°C as the leading outcome for Seoul/Incheon’s minimum temperature on September 2, reflecting a stable post-summer high-pressure ridge with light northerly winds and clear overnight skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average lows near 22–24°C prevail absent strong frontal passages. Traders’ 51% implied probability on 23°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, while 24°C at 25.5% captures any modest warm advection. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the next 12–24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift resolution toward adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$2,554Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models position 23°C as the leading outcome for Seoul/Incheon’s minimum temperature on September 2, reflecting a stable post-summer high-pressure ridge with light northerly winds and clear overnight skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average lows near 22–24°C prevail absent strong frontal passages. Traders’ 51% implied probability on 23°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, while 24°C at 25.5% captures any modest warm advection. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the next 12–24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift resolution toward adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,554Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models position 23°C as the leading outcome for Seoul/Incheon’s minimum temperature on September 2, reflecting a stable post-summer high-pressure ridge with light northerly winds and clear overnight skies that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with early-September climatology, where average lows near 22–24°C prevail absent strong frontal passages. Traders’ 51% implied probability on 23°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, while 24°C at 25.5% captures any modest warm advection. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the next 12–24 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift resolution toward adjacent bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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