Current observational data and forecast consensus from Shanghai meteorological stations strongly support the market's 98.2% implied probability for a 27°C low on August 29, 2026. Official reports list overnight minima near 27.2–27.6°C at sites including Xujiahui, Baoshan, and Songjiang, with surface temperatures stabilizing in the 27–28°C range overnight amid high humidity, light easterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Multiple numerical models align on this narrow range without significant overnight drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp cooling event or variance at the precise resolving station exceeding typical observational uncertainty of ±0.5°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 29 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 29 августа?
27°C 96.1%
26°C 1.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$8,590 Объем
$8,590 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
96%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 96.1%
26°C 1.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$8,590 Объем
$8,590 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$212 Объем
<1%
23°C
$103 Объем
<1%
24°C
$115 Объем
<1%
25°C
$387 Объем
<1%
26°C
$999 Объем
2%
27°C
$4,138 Объем
96%
28°C
$2,047 Объем
<1%
29°C
$276 Объем
<1%
30°C
$108 Объем
<1%
31°C
$103 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$103 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and forecast consensus from Shanghai meteorological stations strongly support the market's 98.2% implied probability for a 27°C low on August 29, 2026. Official reports list overnight minima near 27.2–27.6°C at sites including Xujiahui, Baoshan, and Songjiang, with surface temperatures stabilizing in the 27–28°C range overnight amid high humidity, light easterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Multiple numerical models align on this narrow range without significant overnight drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp cooling event or variance at the precise resolving station exceeding typical observational uncertainty of ±0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$8,590Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current observational data and forecast consensus from Shanghai meteorological stations strongly support the market's 98.2% implied probability for a 27°C low on August 29, 2026. Official reports list overnight minima near 27.2–27.6°C at sites including Xujiahui, Baoshan, and Songjiang, with surface temperatures stabilizing in the 27–28°C range overnight amid high humidity, light easterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Multiple numerical models align on this narrow range without significant overnight drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp cooling event or variance at the precise resolving station exceeding typical observational uncertainty of ±0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,590Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current observational data and forecast consensus from Shanghai meteorological stations strongly support the market's 98.2% implied probability for a 27°C low on August 29, 2026. Official reports list overnight minima near 27.2–27.6°C at sites including Xujiahui, Baoshan, and Songjiang, with surface temperatures stabilizing in the 27–28°C range overnight amid high humidity, light easterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Multiple numerical models align on this narrow range without significant overnight drops. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp cooling event or variance at the precise resolving station exceeding typical observational uncertainty of ±0.5°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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