Recent forecasts from regional models show Shenzhen's overnight low on August 29 likely settling near 26–27°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered heavy rain and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling at night while elevated humidity near 90% and light southwesterly winds reduce the temperature drop compared to clearer subtropical summer nights. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small shifts in rainfall timing or intensity—key variables in short-range guidance—could push the minimum a degree either way. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but active monsoonal moisture this week supports the current market-implied range over sharper declines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 29 августа?
31°C 74%
30°C 73%
27°C 48%
26°C 42%
22°C or below
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
39%
26°C
42%
27°C
48%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C
73%
31°C
74%
32°C or higher
1%
31°C 74%
30°C 73%
27°C 48%
26°C 42%
22°C or below
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
39%
26°C
42%
27°C
48%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C
73%
31°C
74%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models show Shenzhen's overnight low on August 29 likely settling near 26–27°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered heavy rain and thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover limits radiative cooling at night while elevated humidity near 90% and light southwesterly winds reduce the temperature drop compared to clearer subtropical summer nights. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small shifts in rainfall timing or intensity—key variables in short-range guidance—could push the minimum a degree either way. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, but active monsoonal moisture this week supports the current market-implied range over sharper declines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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