Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tel Aviv on August 27, driven by light westerly winds, high humidity near 90% overnight, and clear to partly cloudy skies that permit only modest radiative cooling over the urban coastal plain. The Mediterranean Sea maintains elevated overnight temperatures through maritime moderation, while stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover have prevented stronger drops seen in interior areas. Current model consensus and early-morning observations clustering between 24–26°C underpin the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C, with lower probabilities for 24°C reflecting slight uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum and any localized urban heat effects.