Current meteorological models show moderate uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Warsaw on August 26, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This equilibrium arises from typical late-summer conditions: sufficient surface moisture limiting extreme drops, yet potential for clearer intervals that could enhance heat loss. Ensemble spreads from European and global models highlight sensitivity to cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping both sub-8°C and above-16°C scenarios plausible at roughly 30% market-implied odds each. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 26 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 26 августа?
7°C or below 55%
17°C or higher 55%
10°C 48%
11°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
7°C or below
55%
8°C
35%
9°C
44%
10°C
48%
11°C
48%
12°C
47%
13°C
44%
14°C
44%
15°C
2%
16°C
35%
17°C or higher
55%
7°C or below 55%
17°C or higher 55%
10°C 48%
11°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$0 Объем
55%
8°C
$0 Объем
35%
9°C
$0 Объем
44%
10°C
$0 Объем
48%
11°C
$0 Объем
48%
12°C
$0 Объем
47%
13°C
$0 Объем
44%
14°C
$0 Объем
44%
15°C
$0 Объем
2%
16°C
$0 Объем
35%
17°C or higher
$0 Объем
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological models show moderate uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Warsaw on August 26, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This equilibrium arises from typical late-summer conditions: sufficient surface moisture limiting extreme drops, yet potential for clearer intervals that could enhance heat loss. Ensemble spreads from European and global models highlight sensitivity to cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping both sub-8°C and above-16°C scenarios plausible at roughly 30% market-implied odds each. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological models show moderate uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Warsaw on August 26, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This equilibrium arises from typical late-summer conditions: sufficient surface moisture limiting extreme drops, yet potential for clearer intervals that could enhance heat loss. Ensemble spreads from European and global models highlight sensitivity to cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping both sub-8°C and above-16°C scenarios plausible at roughly 30% market-implied odds each. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological models show moderate uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for Warsaw on August 26, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This equilibrium arises from typical late-summer conditions: sufficient surface moisture limiting extreme drops, yet potential for clearer intervals that could enhance heat loss. Ensemble spreads from European and global models highlight sensitivity to cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, keeping both sub-8°C and above-16°C scenarios plausible at roughly 30% market-implied odds each. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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