Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a minimum of 8 °C overnight into August 21, driven by a moderating southerly flow that limits radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s typical August climatology features overnight lows of 4–8 °C; the current pattern sits at the milder end because polar air outbreaks earlier in the month have eased and a weak ridge is building. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 7 °C unless winds drop and clear skies develop unexpectedly, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 8 °C while leaving smaller probabilities for 7 °C or 6 °C if forecast adjustments arrive before official daily minimum verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 21 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 21 августа?
8°C 97%
7°C 3%
6°C 3%
3°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
97%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
8°C 97%
7°C 3%
6°C 3%
3°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
2°C or below
$221 Объем
<1%
3°C
$192 Объем
<1%
4°C
$194 Объем
<1%
5°C
$144 Объем
<1%
6°C
$121 Объем
3%
7°C
$138 Объем
3%
8°C
$300 Объем
97%
9°C
$241 Объем
<1%
10°C
$15 Объем
<1%
11°C
$80 Объем
<1%
12°C or higher
$95 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a minimum of 8 °C overnight into August 21, driven by a moderating southerly flow that limits radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s typical August climatology features overnight lows of 4–8 °C; the current pattern sits at the milder end because polar air outbreaks earlier in the month have eased and a weak ridge is building. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 7 °C unless winds drop and clear skies develop unexpectedly, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 8 °C while leaving smaller probabilities for 7 °C or 6 °C if forecast adjustments arrive before official daily minimum verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Объем
$1,741Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a minimum of 8 °C overnight into August 21, driven by a moderating southerly flow that limits radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s typical August climatology features overnight lows of 4–8 °C; the current pattern sits at the milder end because polar air outbreaks earlier in the month have eased and a weak ridge is building. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 7 °C unless winds drop and clear skies develop unexpectedly, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 8 °C while leaving smaller probabilities for 7 °C or 6 °C if forecast adjustments arrive before official daily minimum verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,741Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a minimum of 8 °C overnight into August 21, driven by a moderating southerly flow that limits radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s typical August climatology features overnight lows of 4–8 °C; the current pattern sits at the milder end because polar air outbreaks earlier in the month have eased and a weak ridge is building. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 7 °C unless winds drop and clear skies develop unexpectedly, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 8 °C while leaving smaller probabilities for 7 °C or 6 °C if forecast adjustments arrive before official daily minimum verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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